选民为什么要选举犯罪的政客?

IF 2.3 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS European Journal of Political Economy Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI:10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2024.102527
Abhinav Khemka
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引用次数: 0

摘要

世界各地的选民往往是选举劣质立法者担任政治职务的帮凶。这一问题在印度尤为突出,因为在印度,被指控犯罪的候选人经常在投票中胜出。为什么选民愿意把选票投给被指控有不法行为的候选人?本文利用比哈尔邦 2020 年议会选举中个人层面的主要选民调查数据,研究了种族投票能否解释这种令人惊讶的选民行为。与选民偏好理论相反,我发现如果被指控犯罪的候选人属于选民偏好的民族政党,选民会对其表现出更强烈的负面反应。在暴力指控方面,选民对非族裔候选人的支持率下降了 89.2%。对于暴力罪犯,同族选民的支持率进一步下降了 67%。无论选民的新闻消费水平或政治知识水平、教育状况和收入如何,这一模式都是成立的。这些发现表明,犯罪政客的选举成功可能是由于其他因素造成的,如缺乏适当的机构或国家能力较低,而不是选民的基本种族偏好。
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Why do voters elect criminal politicians?

Voters across the world are often complicit in electing bad-quality legislators to political office. This problem is particularly salient in India, where candidates accused of criminality often succeed at the polls. Why do voters show a willingness to cast their ballots for candidates accused of wrongdoing? Using primary individual-level voter survey data from the Bihar 2020 state assembly elections, this paper examines whether ethnic voting can explain this surprising voter behavior. Contrary to voter preference theory, I find that voters exhibit a stronger negative response to candidates accused of criminality when they belong to their preferred ethnic party. Voter support for the non-ethnic falls by 89.2% for violent charges. Coethnicity further reduces electoral support by 67% for violent criminals. This pattern holds regardless of the voters’ level of news consumption, political knowledge, education status, and income. These findings suggest that the electoral success of criminal politicians could be attributed to other factors such as a lack of proper institutions or lower state capacity rather than the voters’ underlying ethnic preferences.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
10.00%
发文量
106
期刊介绍: The aim of the European Journal of Political Economy is to disseminate original theoretical and empirical research on economic phenomena within a scope that encompasses collective decision making, political behavior, and the role of institutions. Contributions are invited from the international community of researchers. Manuscripts must be published in English. Starting 2008, the European Journal of Political Economy is indexed in the Social Sciences Citation Index published by Thomson Scientific (formerly ISI).
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