马来西亚吉隆坡公交导向型开发项目的价格模型

Abdulazeez Adam Muhammad, B. Burhan, Edie Ezwan Mohd Safian
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摘要

公交导向开发(TOD)的理念是促进铁路网周边的城市发展,自 19 世纪末 20 世纪初以来,该理念已得到战略性的建设和应用。以往的研究报告称,TOD 对周边房地产价格产生了积极、消极或无关的影响。本研究旨在评估 TOD 对吉隆坡房地产价格的影响。本研究利用从马来西亚国家房地产信息中心(NAPIC)获得的二手数据,经过数据清理后,使用了 2009 年至 2018 年期间的九千五百四十九(9549)宗住房交易。研究设计为定量分析,数据分析采用了对数价格模型(Hedonic Price Model)。模型显示,多重相关系数(R)为 0.891,调整后的 R2 值为 0.794,表明 79.4% 的房价变化可以用该模型解释。F 值为 996.921,在统计学上具有显著意义,表明这些预测因素在预测吉隆坡 TOD 地区的房价方面具有显著的联合作用。LnTrainsta 的系数为 0.056,表明吉隆坡的住宅房价与 TOD 之间存在正相关关系;这说明,每靠近轨道交通站点 100 米,房价就会上涨 5.6%。
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Price Model for Transit-Oriented Developments in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
The idea of Transit Oriented Development (TOD) was to foster urban development around railway networks and has been strategically built and applied since the late 19th and early 20th centuries. Previous studies reported positive, negative, or irrelevant impact of TOD on prices of surrounding real estate. The study aims to evaluate the impact of TOD on property prices in Kuala Lumpur. It utilizes secondary data obtained from the National Property Information Centre (NAPIC), Malaysia, after data cleaning, Nine Thousand Five Hundred and Forty-Nine (9549) Housing Transactions between the periods 2009 and 2018 were used. The research design was quantitative, and the Hedonic Price Model (log-log model) was used for data analysis. The model revealed a multiple correlation coefficient (R) of 0.891 and an adjusted R2 value of 0.794, indicating that 79.4% of the house price variation is explained by the model. The F value of 996.921, which is statistically significant, indicates that the predictors significantly combine to predict the price of TOD areas in Kuala Lumpur. The coefficient for LnTrainsta is 0.056, indicating that there was a positive relationship between residential house prices and TOD in Kuala Lumpur; this explains that house prices increase by 5.6% for every 100 meter closer to the rail transit station.
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