城市化与经济增长:喜马拉雅锡金邦的一些启示

K. Singha, L. Sherpa, Md. Samsur Jaman
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摘要

锡金经历了快速的城市化和工业化,尤其是自 2007 年实施《东北工业与投资促进政策》(NEIIPP,2007 年)以来。虽然城市化和经济增长密不可分,但以往关于二者因果关系的研究结果似乎相互矛盾。城市化/工业化的加剧似乎激怒了锡金人,这并不是因为创收或环境问题,而是因为与外来者相比,锡金人的就业机会比例过高。本文利用二手数据调查了两个关键的研究问题:(a) 城市化是经济增长的结果还是原因;(b) 锡金的工业化(主要由 2007 年东北工业园区计划推动)是否使当地人受益?因果关系检验显示两者之间存在单向关系,即城市化导致经济增长。尽管锡金吸引了外来劳动力,但其工业化/城市化程度的提高大大减少了贫困和失业。JEL Codes:H20, L59, O10, O15, O25, R23
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Urbanisation and Economic Growth: Some Insights from the Himalayan State of Sikkim
Sikkim has experienced rapid urbanisation and industrialisation, particularly since the implementation of the North East Industrial and Investment Promotion Policy in 2007 (NEIIPP 2007). Though urbanisation and economic growth are inextricably linked, previous research findings on their causal relationships appear to be contradictory. Increased urbanisation/industrialisation seemed to enrage the Sikkimese, not because of revenue generation or environmental concerns, but because of their disproportionate share of employment opportunities in comparison to outsiders. Using secondary data, this article investigated two critical research questions: (a) Whether urbanisation is a result of or a cause of economic growth; and (b) Has Sikkim’s industrialisation, largely fuelled by the NEIIPP 2007, benefited locals? The causality test revealed a unidirectional relationship between the two, with urbanisation causing economic growth. Despite attracting migrant labour, Sikkim’s increased industrialisation/urbanisation has significantly reduced poverty and unemployment. JEL Codes: H20, L59, O10, O15, O25, R23
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