希腊危机是一个 "道德故事"?实证评估

Nicola Nones
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摘要

信贷和债务不仅仅是市场经济中的物质交换,它们也是社会建构,蕴含着对相关行为主体品格的道德判断。在最近的欧洲主权债券危机中,一些评论家注意到类似的道德媒体话语是如何将 "贤惠 "的北欧国家和 "挥霍、懒惰 "的南欧国家并列在一起的。在本文中,我对这一现象进行了量化的大-小实证评估。受社会心理学研究的启发,我采用了一种基于词典的方法来衡量道德内容。通过分析 2004 年至 2019 年期间英美和德国财经媒体上发表的 14,000 多篇文章,我展示了希腊在多大程度上受到了负面道德语言的描述。在 2009 年秋季的最初 "冲击 "之后,平均道德基调转为负面,相对于英美同行,德国财经媒体的道德基调更为负面。此外,从大多数指标来看,道德基调从未完全恢复到危机前的水平,这表明经济叙事的 "粘性 "有多大。然而,与最初的预期相反,没有证据表明金融媒体在 2015 年希腊危机的最后也是最严重的阶段越来越多地从道德角度进行报道。
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The Greek crisis as a “morality tale”? An empirical assessment
Credit and debt are more than just material exchanges within a market economy, they are also social constructs embedded in moral judgments about the character of the agents involved. During the recent European Sovereign Bond crisis, some commentators noted how a similarly loaded moral media discourse juxtaposed “virtuous” Northern European countries on the one side, and “spendthrift, lazy” Southern European ones on the other side. In this article, I provide a quantitative large-N empirical assessment of this phenomenon. I employ a dictionary-based approach inspired by research in social psychology to measure moral content. Upon analyzing more than 14,000 articles published in the Anglo-American and German financial press between 2004 and 2019, I show the extent to which Greece was described in negative moral language. After the initial “shock” in the fall of 2009, the average moral tone turns negative, and more so in the German financial press relative to its Anglo-American counterpart. Moreover, by most measures, it never completely reverts to pre-crisis levels, thus suggesting how “sticky” economic narratives can become. Against the original expectations, though, there is no evidence that the financial press framed the last and most acute phase of the Greek crisis in 2015 in increasingly moral terms.
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