水源地可持续发展能力评估:中国案例研究

Jingqi Zhang, Shaohua Jiang
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摘要

水资源短缺问题已引起全世界的关注。如何协调水源生态环境建设与社会经济发展之间的互动关系,是当前保障人类生存水资源环境亟待解决的重要问题。本文提出了水资源可持续开发利用的评估范式。首先,研究了生态、经济和社会三个因素。然后,利用德尔菲法构建了 20 个基本评价指标,以及评估水源可持续发展潜力的指标体系。然后采用组合分配法确定了各评价指标的权重,并提出了相应的建议。然后建立了水源可持续发展能力耦合度评价模型。为了证实所建议模型的可行性和有效性,在中国山东南水北调的背景下,利用该模型对李武河水源地的可持续发展能力进行了评估。相信上述研究将成为评估水源地可持续发展能力的有用资源。
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Evaluation of sustainable development capacity of water sources: a case study of China
The issue of water scarcity has drawn attention from all over the world. The coordination of the interaction between ecological and environmental development of water sources and socio-economic development is currently an essential issue that needs to be solved in order to safeguard the water resources environment for human survival. In this essay, we suggest a paradigm for assessing the sustainable exploitation of water resources. First, three ecological, economic, and social factors are investigated. Twenty essential evaluation indexes are then constructed using the Delphi approach, along with an index system for assessing the potential of water sources for sustainable development. The weights of each evaluation index were then determined using the combination assignment approach, which was then suggested. The coupled degree evaluation model of the capability for sustainable development of water sources was then developed. In order to confirm the viability and validity of the suggested model, the model was used to assess the Liwu River water source's capacity for sustainable growth in the context of the South-North Water Transfer in Shandong, China. It is believed that the aforementioned study would serve as a helpful resource when evaluating the capacity of water sources for sustainable development.
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