气候变化情景对巴西玉米和大豆双季种植系统的影响

IF 3 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Climate Pub Date : 2024-03-12 DOI:10.3390/cli12030042
Tiago Bigolin, E. Talamini
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引用次数: 0

摘要

巴西是玉米和大豆的主要生产国和出口国之一,也是一个气候多样的大陆性国家,可以在各种农业系统中种植这些作物。双季种植是全国各地广泛采用的一种耕作制度,在同一生长季节,可以在大豆生长季节开始时种植大豆,然后接连种植玉米。本研究旨在系统整理有关未来气候变化情景对巴西大豆和玉米双季种植系统产量和影响的科学知识。研究采用了系统综述程序。在所有气候情景下,预计巴西所有地区的大豆产量都将增加。在未来气候情景下,玉米产量预计将下降,亚热带气候地区受到的影响小于北部地区。在热带气候地区,大豆+玉米的双季种植系统往往会带来越来越大的气候风险。气候变化情景表明,雨季开始的时间将推迟,这将推迟大豆的播种,从而推迟玉米的连续播种,导致完成其周期的降雨日数减少。
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Impacts of Climate Change Scenarios on the Corn and Soybean Double-Cropping System in Brazil
Brazil is one of the main producing and exporting countries of corn and soybean and a continental country with climatic diversity that allows the cultivation of these crops in various agricultural systems. Double cropping is a widely adopted system throughout the national territory, where it is possible to cultivate soybeans at the beginning of the growing season, followed by corn in succession, in the same growing season. The present study aims to systematize the scientific knowledge about the impacts of future climate change scenarios on yield and on the double-cropping system of soybean + corn in Brazil. Systematic review procedures were adopted. The soybean yield is projected to increase in all regions of Brazil under all climate scenarios. Corn yields under future climate scenarios are projected to decline, with the subtropical climate region being less affected than the northern regions. The double-cropping systems of soybean + corn tend to present increasing climate risks in tropical climate regions. Climate change scenarios point to a delay in the start of the rainy season that will delay the sowing of soybeans, consequently delaying the sowing of corn in succession, resulting in fewer rainy days to complete its cycle.
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来源期刊
Climate
Climate Earth and Planetary Sciences-Atmospheric Science
CiteScore
5.50
自引率
5.40%
发文量
172
审稿时长
11 weeks
期刊介绍: Climate is an independent, international and multi-disciplinary open access journal focusing on climate processes of the earth, covering all scales and involving modelling and observation methods. The scope of Climate includes: Global climate Regional climate Urban climate Multiscale climate Polar climate Tropical climate Climate downscaling Climate process and sensitivity studies Climate dynamics Climate variability (Interseasonal, interannual to decadal) Feedbacks between local, regional, and global climate change Anthropogenic climate change Climate and monsoon Cloud and precipitation predictions Past, present, and projected climate change Hydroclimate.
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