老年人肺癌的预后和存活率

Souad Souilah, Nassima Djami
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摘要

导言从2012年到2020年,在我院接受治疗的肺癌患者中,有33.3%的患者年龄超过70岁。我们的研究旨在估算2012年1月至2020年6月期间308名70岁以上肺癌患者的总生存率,并调查预后因素的重要性:初步评估至少包括支气管镜检查和胸部计算机断层扫描。采用卡普兰-梅耶法计算生存率,并给出95%的置信区间。采用 Log-Rank 检验比较生存曲线:308例病例中(女性占9.6%,男性占90.4%),92.2%为NSCLC(49.6%为鳞癌,45.4%为腺癌),7.8%为SCLC。确诊时的中位年龄为 74 岁,14.6% 不吸烟,55.8% 曾经吸烟。67.9%的患者至少有一种合并症,1.6%的患者PS等于0,28.2%的患者PS≥2。TNM分期发现,9.2%的病例处于I期和II期,31.2%处于III期,59.7%处于IV期。中位总生存期为 8.312 个月 [6.947-9.678],1 年生存率为 35.1%。较好的生存率与女性性别、不吸烟、PS≤1和TNM分期有关:结论:老年人可以考虑支气管癌的所有标准治疗方案,但生理衰老和合并症的流行会改变治疗的风险效益比。这强调了对这部分人群实施综合管理策略的必要性。
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Prognosis and survival of lung cancer in the elderly
Introduction: In our department, from 2012 to 2020, 33.3% of patients treated for lung cancer were over 70 years old. Our study aimed to estimate overall survival and investigate the significance of prognostic factors in a population of 308 patients aged over 70 with lung cancer, collected from January 2012 to June 2020. Methods: The initial assessment included at least a bronchoscopic examination and thoracic computed tomography. Survival rates were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and presented with 95% confidence intervals. The Log-Rank test was utilized for the comparison of survival curves. Results: The 308 cases (9.6% females, 90.4% males) included 92.2% NSCLC (49.6% squamous cell, 45.4% adenocarcinomas) and 7.8% SCLC. The median age at diagnosis was 74 years, 14.6% were non-smokers, and 55.8% were former smokers. 67.9% of patients had at least one comorbidity, 1.6% had a PS equal to 0, and 28.2% had a PS ≥ 2. TNM staging found 9.2% of cases at stages I and II; 31.2% at stage III, and 59.7% at stage IV. The median overall survival was 8.312 months [6.947-9.678], and the 1-year survival rate was 35.1%. Better survival was correlated with female gender, absence of smoking, PS ≤ 1, and TNM staging. Conclusion: All standard therapeutic options for bronchial cancer can be considered in the elderly, but physiological aging and the prevalence of comorbidities alter the risk-benefit ratio of treatments. This emphasizes the need for the implementation of a comprehensive management strategy for this segment of society.
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