{"title":"灵活无缝的二合一设计,可适应样品大小。","authors":"Runjia Li, Liwen Wu, Rachael Liu, Jianchang Lin","doi":"10.1080/10543406.2024.2330211","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The 2-in-1 design is becoming popular in oncology drug development, with the flexibility in using different endpoints at different decision time. Based on the observed interim data, sponsors can choose to seamlessly advance a small phase 2 trial to a full-scale confirmatory phase 3 trial with a pre-determined maximum sample size or remain in a phase 2 trial. While this approach may increase efficiency in drug development, it is rigid and requires a pre-specified fixed sample size. In this paper, we propose a flexible 2-in-1 design with sample size adaptation, while retaining the advantage of allowing an intermediate endpoint for interim decision-making. The proposed design reflects the needs of the recent FDA's Project FrontRunner initiative, which encourages the use of an earlier surrogate endpoint to potentially support accelerated approval with conversion to standard approval with long-term endpoints from the same randomized study. Additionally, we identify the interim decision cut-off to allow a conventional test procedure at the final analysis. Extensive simulation studies showed that the proposed design requires much a smaller sample size and shorter timeline than the simple 2-in-1 design, while achieving similar power. We present a case study in multiple myeloma to demonstrate the benefits of the proposed design.</p>","PeriodicalId":54870,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biopharmaceutical Statistics","volume":" ","pages":"1-19"},"PeriodicalIF":1.2000,"publicationDate":"2024-03-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Flexible seamless 2-in-1 design with sample size adaptation.\",\"authors\":\"Runjia Li, Liwen Wu, Rachael Liu, Jianchang Lin\",\"doi\":\"10.1080/10543406.2024.2330211\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>The 2-in-1 design is becoming popular in oncology drug development, with the flexibility in using different endpoints at different decision time. Based on the observed interim data, sponsors can choose to seamlessly advance a small phase 2 trial to a full-scale confirmatory phase 3 trial with a pre-determined maximum sample size or remain in a phase 2 trial. While this approach may increase efficiency in drug development, it is rigid and requires a pre-specified fixed sample size. In this paper, we propose a flexible 2-in-1 design with sample size adaptation, while retaining the advantage of allowing an intermediate endpoint for interim decision-making. The proposed design reflects the needs of the recent FDA's Project FrontRunner initiative, which encourages the use of an earlier surrogate endpoint to potentially support accelerated approval with conversion to standard approval with long-term endpoints from the same randomized study. Additionally, we identify the interim decision cut-off to allow a conventional test procedure at the final analysis. Extensive simulation studies showed that the proposed design requires much a smaller sample size and shorter timeline than the simple 2-in-1 design, while achieving similar power. We present a case study in multiple myeloma to demonstrate the benefits of the proposed design.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":54870,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Biopharmaceutical Statistics\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"1-19\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.2000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-03-29\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Biopharmaceutical Statistics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1080/10543406.2024.2330211\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Biopharmaceutical Statistics","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1080/10543406.2024.2330211","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Flexible seamless 2-in-1 design with sample size adaptation.
The 2-in-1 design is becoming popular in oncology drug development, with the flexibility in using different endpoints at different decision time. Based on the observed interim data, sponsors can choose to seamlessly advance a small phase 2 trial to a full-scale confirmatory phase 3 trial with a pre-determined maximum sample size or remain in a phase 2 trial. While this approach may increase efficiency in drug development, it is rigid and requires a pre-specified fixed sample size. In this paper, we propose a flexible 2-in-1 design with sample size adaptation, while retaining the advantage of allowing an intermediate endpoint for interim decision-making. The proposed design reflects the needs of the recent FDA's Project FrontRunner initiative, which encourages the use of an earlier surrogate endpoint to potentially support accelerated approval with conversion to standard approval with long-term endpoints from the same randomized study. Additionally, we identify the interim decision cut-off to allow a conventional test procedure at the final analysis. Extensive simulation studies showed that the proposed design requires much a smaller sample size and shorter timeline than the simple 2-in-1 design, while achieving similar power. We present a case study in multiple myeloma to demonstrate the benefits of the proposed design.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Biopharmaceutical Statistics, a rapid publication journal, discusses quality applications of statistics in biopharmaceutical research and development. Now publishing six times per year, it includes expositions of statistical methodology with immediate applicability to biopharmaceutical research in the form of full-length and short manuscripts, review articles, selected/invited conference papers, short articles, and letters to the editor. Addressing timely and provocative topics important to the biostatistical profession, the journal covers:
Drug, device, and biological research and development;
Drug screening and drug design;
Assessment of pharmacological activity;
Pharmaceutical formulation and scale-up;
Preclinical safety assessment;
Bioavailability, bioequivalence, and pharmacokinetics;
Phase, I, II, and III clinical development including complex innovative designs;
Premarket approval assessment of clinical safety;
Postmarketing surveillance;
Big data and artificial intelligence and applications.