尼泊尔奇特旺县水稻种子种植者对气候变化的认识和适应战略

Rabin Thapa, Shiva Chandra Dhakal
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摘要

在气候不断变化的背景下,水稻种子分部门在水稻谷物自给自足和粮食安全方面发挥着至关重要的作用。因此,当务之急是了解水稻种子种植者对气候变化的看法,并确定应对气候变化的主要适应策略及其重要决定因素。有鉴于此,我们的研究使用了尼泊尔奇特旺县 223 名水稻种子种植者的数据,采用目的性抽样,然后从巴拉特布尔大都市和马迪市进行简单随机抽样。我们使用了描述性统计来说明认知和适应策略。使用采用指数将种植者分为采用或不采用策略者。采用 Probit 回归法确定采用策略的重要决定因素。研究结果表明,71% 的种植者认为气候变化:气温升高,降雨频率降低。品种选择、绿肥、播种时间、改善水管理和养分管理是研究地区采用的主要适应策略。回归分析发现,接受正规教育的年限、经验、与推广人员的接触以及培训是决定采用策略的重要因素。研究发现,马迪地区的农民更有可能采用适应战略。因此,建议地方和省级政府在考虑地点的同时,探索机构服务提供系统和社会经济特征,以便更好地在农场一级采用策略。这项研究有助于政策制定者有意识地将正规教育、推广服务和培训作为目标,以便在面对气候变化时更多地采用适应战略。所确定的适应战略及其重要决定因素适用于全球类似农业生态区域的水稻种子耕作系统。
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Climate change perception and adaptation strategies of rice seed growers in Chitwan district, Nepal

The rice seed sub-sector plays a vital role in the self-sufficiency of rice grain and food security in the context of changing climate. Thus, it is imperative to understand the perception of rice seed growers towards climate change and identify the major adaptation strategies against climate change along with their significant determinants. In this light, our study used data from 223 rice seed growers in the Chitwan district of Nepal using purposive sampling followed by simple random sampling from Bharatpur Metropolitan City and Madi Municipality. Descriptive statistics were used to illustrate perception and adaptation strategies. The growers were categorized as adopters or non-adopters of strategies using the adoption index. Probit regression was used to determine the significant determinants of the adoption of strategies. The findings revealed that 71% of growers perceived climate change: increased temperature and decreased frequency of rainfall. Varietal selection, green manuring, planting time, improved water management and nutrient management were the major adaptation strategies adopted in the study area. From the regression analysis, years of formal education, experience, contact with extension agents and training were found to be significant determinants of the adoption of strategies. The farmers of Madi were found to be more likely to adopt the adaptation strategies. It is therefore recommended that the local and provincial-level governments explore the institutional service provision system and socio-economic characteristics while considering the location for better farm-level adoption of strategies. The study is useful for policymakers to deliberately target formal education, extension services and training for increased adoption of adaptation strategies in the face of climate change. The identified adaptation strategies and their significant determinants are applicable for the rice seed farming system in similar agro-ecological regions globally.

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