用袋式算法和随机森林算法预测幼儿发育迟缓问题

Juwariyem Juwariyem, S. Sriyanto, Sri Lestari, Chairani Chairani
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引用次数: 0

摘要

发育迟缓是指幼儿无法茁壮成长。这是由于长期缺乏营养、反复感染和缺乏刺激造成的。这种营养不良状况受母亲怀孕期间的健康状况、青少年的健康状况以及经济、文化和环境(如卫生条件和获得医疗服务的机会)的影响。为了解发育迟缓的预测情况,目前我们仍在使用一种常见的方法,即二级数据分析,即通过调查和研究来收集有关发育迟缓的数据。这些数据包括与发育迟缓有关的风险因素,如孕产妇营养状况、儿童营养摄入、获得医疗服务的机会、卫生条件和其他社会经济因素。通过这种二手数据分析,可以对发育迟缓的发生率和诱因有一个大致的了解。要克服这一问题,需要正确的解决方案,其中一个解决方案就是数据挖掘技术,数据挖掘可用于对未来进行分析和预测,并为商业或健康需求提供有用的信息。在此分析基础上,本研究将使用 Bagging 方法和随机森林算法来获得幼儿发育迟缓预测的准确度。Bagging 或 Bootstrap Aggregation 是一种集合方法,可通过随机组合训练数据集上的分类来改进分类,从而减少差异并避免过度拟合。随机森林是机器学习中一种强大的算法,它将许多独立决策树的决策结合起来,以提高预测性能和模型稳定性。通过将 Bagging 方法与随机森林算法相结合,希望能提供更好的幼儿发育迟缓预测结果。本研究使用的数据集共有 10,001 条数据记录、7 个属性和 1 个属性类。根据本研究使用 Bagging 方法和随机森林算法的测试结果,得到的结果是类精确度为 91.72%,类召回率为 98.84%,类精确度为 93.55%,类召回率为 65.28%,准确率为 91.98%。
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Prediction of Stunting in Toddlers Using Bagging and Random Forest Algorithms
Stunting is a condition of failure to thrive in toddlers. This is caused by lack of nutrition over a long period of time, exposure to repeated infections, and lack of stimulation. This malnutrition condition is influenced by the mother's health during pregnancy, the health status of adolescents, as well as the economy and culture and the environment, such as sanitation and access to health services. To find out predictions of stunting, currently we still use a common method, namely Secondary Data Analysis, namely by conducting surveys and research to collect data regarding stunting. This data includes risk factors related to stunting, such as maternal nutritional status, child nutritional intake, access to health services, sanitation, and other socioeconomic factors. This secondary data analysis can provide an overview of the prevalence of stunting and the contributing factors. To overcome this, the right solution is needed, one solution that can be used is data mining techniques, where data mining can be used to carry out analysis and predictions for the future, and provide useful information for business or health needs. Based on this analysis, this research will use the Bagging method and Random Forest Algorithm to obtain the accuracy level of stunting predictions in toddlers. Bagging or Bootstrap Aggregation is an ensemble method that can improve classification by randomly combining classifications on the training dataset which can reduce variation and avoid overfitting. Random Forest is a powerful algorithm in machine learning that combines decisions from many independent decision trees to improve prediction performance and model stability. By combining the Bagging method and the Random Forest algorithm, it is hoped that it will be able to provide better stunting prediction results in toddlers. This research uses a dataset with a total of 10,001 data records, 7 attributes and 1 attribute class. Based on the test results using the Bagging method and the Random Forest algorithm in this research, the results obtained were class precision yes 91.72%, class recall yes 98.84%, class precision no 93.55%, class recall no 65.28%, and accuracy of 91.98%.
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