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Sales Trend Analysis With Machine Learning Linear Regression Algorithm Method 利用机器学习线性回归算法方法进行销售趋势分析
Pub Date : 2024-07-19 DOI: 10.33395/sinkron.v8i3.13809
Alwidahyani Sipahutar, Ibnu Rasyid Munthe, Angga Putra Juledi
The development of online business in Indonesia is now very rapid, with the process being done by ordering goods through resellers or distributors using one of the social media. Item purchases are made based on product information, prices, discounts and inventory quantities using a decision model. In the sales process, Toko Serbu Aek Batu usually releases several different items to be offered to the market at different prices, but not all items are in high demand. Multiple linear regression is an analysis that describes the relationship between dependent variables and factors that affect more than one independent variable. The purpose of this study is to analyze sales trends using a linear regression method using rapidminer. The results of this study are prediction calculations using manual calculations with rapidminer the same results, predicting the price desired by buyers using a linear regression algorithm with the original price is not much different and rapidminer is very accurate to be used in predicting sales trends at the price desired by customers, so that sellers can pay more attention to things that are very influential in the sales process.
目前,印度尼西亚的在线业务发展非常迅速,其流程是通过转售商或分销商利用其中一种社交媒体订购商品。根据产品信息、价格、折扣和库存数量,利用决策模型进行商品采购。在销售过程中,Toko Serbu Aek Batu 通常会发布几种不同的商品,以不同的价格提供给市场,但并不是所有商品都很抢手。多元线性回归是一种描述因变量与影响一个以上自变量的因素之间关系的分析。本研究的目的是利用 rapidminer 的线性回归方法分析销售趋势。本研究的结果是使用人工计算的预测计算结果与 rapidminer 的结果相同,使用线性回归算法预测买家期望的价格与原始价格相差不大,而且 rapidminer 非常准确,可用于预测客户期望价格的销售趋势,这样卖家就可以更加关注在销售过程中非常有影响力的事情。
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引用次数: 0
Comparison Of Exponesial Smoothing With Linear Regression Predicting Amount Of Goods Sales 指数平滑法与线性回归法在预测商品销售额方面的比较
Pub Date : 2024-07-18 DOI: 10.33395/sinkron.v8i3.13811
Erwin Panggabean, Anita Sindar Ros Maryana Sinaga, J. Sagala, Alya Sophia Ramadhan, Alpon Josua
A trading business is a business that operates in the sales sector with the aim of obtaining maximum profits through sales activities. To be able to sell efficiently, a prediction system is needed, so that there is no excess or shortage of inventory and the sales process can run smoothly. Human limitations in solving prediction problems without using tools that apply prediction methods are one of the obstacles in finding the right prediction value. Therefore, we need a prediction system that can help find accurate and fast values. So the problem formulation is how to design and build a sales prediction system using exponential smoothing and linear regression methods, then compare the two and find out which method is the best, both of which use periodic data prediction models. The data collection method used is secondary data from previous research and journals, as well as combining library study methods, namely information obtained from books, references and scientific works related to predictions. The tool used to build applications is MS-Visual Studio 2010 and WEB based system
贸易企业是在销售领域开展业务的企业,目的是通过销售活动获取最大利润。为了能够有效地进行销售,需要有一个预测系统,这样才不会出现库存过剩或短缺的情况,销售过程才能顺利进行。在不使用应用预测方法的工具的情况下,人类在解决预测问题上的局限性是找到正确预测值的障碍之一。因此,我们需要一个预测系统,帮助我们准确、快速地找到预测值。因此,问题的提出是如何使用指数平滑法和线性回归法设计和建立一个销售预测系统,然后比较这两种方法,找出哪种方法最好,这两种方法都使用周期性数据预测模型。使用的数据收集方法是从以前的研究和期刊中获取二手数据,以及结合图书馆学习方法,即从与预测相关的书籍、参考文献和科学著作中获取信息。用于构建应用程序的工具是 MS-Visual Studio 2010 和基于 WEB 的系统
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引用次数: 0
Classification of Breast Cancer with Transfer Learning on Convolutional Neural Network Models 利用卷积神经网络模型的迁移学习对乳腺癌进行分类
Pub Date : 2024-07-18 DOI: 10.33395/sinkron.v8i3.13792
Bayu Angga Wijaya, Mesrawati Hulu, Resel Resel, Nestina Halawa, Angki Angkota Tarigan
Breast cancer is a serious medical condition and a leading cause of death among women. Early and accurate diagnosis is crucial for improving patient outcomes. This study explores the use of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) with Transfer Learning using DenseNet121 and ResNet50 models to enhance breast cancer classification via mammography. Transfer Learning enables CNN models to leverage knowledge learned from larger datasets such as ImageNet to improve performance on specific breast cancer datasets. The dataset comprised medical images with three breast variations: benign, malignant, and normal, totaling 531 data points. Data was split with a 70% training and 30% validation ratio. Two CNN models, AlexNet and ResNet50, were evaluated to compare their performance in classifying these breast cancer types. The experimental results show that AlexNet achieved a training accuracy of 98.01%, while ResNet50 achieved 64.07%. AlexNet demonstrated superior performance in identifying complex patterns in mammography images, resulting in more accurate classification of different breast cancer types. These findings highlight the potential of deep learning applications to support more precise and effective medical diagnostics for breast cancer. This research contributes significantly to the development of AI technologies in healthcare aimed at improving early detection of breast cancer. The implications of this study could expand our understanding of Transfer Learning applications in medical contexts, driving further advancements in this field to enhance patient care and prognosis
乳腺癌是一种严重的疾病,也是妇女死亡的主要原因。早期准确诊断对改善患者预后至关重要。本研究利用 DenseNet121 和 ResNet50 模型探索了卷积神经网络 (CNN) 与迁移学习的结合使用,以增强乳腺 X 射线照相术的乳腺癌分类能力。迁移学习使 CNN 模型能够利用从 ImageNet 等大型数据集中学到的知识,提高在特定乳腺癌数据集上的性能。数据集包括三种乳房变化的医学图像:良性、恶性和正常,共计 531 个数据点。数据以 70% 的训练和 30% 的验证比例进行分割。对 AlexNet 和 ResNet50 这两种 CNN 模型进行了评估,以比较它们在对这些乳腺癌类型进行分类时的性能。实验结果表明,AlexNet 的训练准确率为 98.01%,而 ResNet50 为 64.07%。AlexNet 在识别乳腺 X 射线图像中的复杂模式方面表现出色,从而能更准确地对不同的乳腺癌类型进行分类。这些发现凸显了深度学习应用在支持更精确、更有效的乳腺癌医疗诊断方面的潜力。这项研究极大地促进了旨在改善乳腺癌早期检测的医疗领域人工智能技术的发展。这项研究的意义可以拓展我们对转移学习在医疗领域应用的理解,推动该领域的进一步发展,从而改善患者护理和预后。
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引用次数: 0
Decision Support System Using the TOPSIS Method in New Teacher Selection 在新教师遴选中使用 TOPSIS 法的决策支持系统
Pub Date : 2024-07-16 DOI: 10.33395/sinkron.v8i3.13751
Dedek Indra Gunawan Hts, Efani Desi, Siti Aliyah, Fitri Pranita Nasution, Ulfah Indriani, Firman Edi
Every school needs teachers who have good competence to educate students to become outstanding students. Getting teachers who have good competence is certainly not an easy thing, it must be a very strict selection process. This research aims to help determine teachers who are eligible to be accepted at IT Al Munadi Private Elementary School Medan by using the TOPSIS method. The selection consists of 5 criteria, namely education, microteaching, teaching experience, tahsin and memorization of the Koran. The TOPSIS method is widely used for Multi Attribute Decision Making (MADM) decision making. The TOPSIS method is used as a ranking to see teachers who have competencies that are worthy of acceptance. Based on the results of the TOPSIS calculation where there are 6 alternatives that have been determined, the results obtained are G6 in the first place with a preference value of 2.82, 2nd place with a preference value of 2.48, 3rd place with a preference value of 2.09, 4th place with a preference value of 1.72, 5th place with a preference value of 1.67, while the 6th place is G1 with a preference value of 1.00. It is hoped that the decision support system using TOPSIS can help schools in determining teachers who have good competence so as to produce outstanding students.
每所学校都需要能力出众的教师来教育学生成为优秀学生。要获得能力出众的教师当然不是一件容易的事,必须经过非常严格的筛选过程。本研究旨在通过使用 TOPSIS 方法,帮助确定哪些教师有资格被棉兰信息技术阿尔穆纳迪私立小学录取。选拔包括 5 项标准,即学历、微格教学、教学经验、大信和《古兰经》背诵情况。TOPSIS 法被广泛用于多属性决策(MADM)。采用 TOPSIS 法进行排序,可以看出哪些教师具备值得接受的能力。根据已确定的 6 个备选方案的 TOPSIS 计算结果,排在第一位的是 G6,其偏好值为 2.82;排在第二位的是 G6,其偏好值为 2.48;排在第三位的是 G6,其偏好值为 2.09;排在第四位的是 G6,其偏好值为 1.72;排在第五位的是 G6,其偏好值为 1.67;排在第六位的是 G1,其偏好值为 1.00。希望使用 TOPSIS 的决策支持系统能够帮助学校确定哪些教师具有良好的能力,从而培养出优秀的学生。
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引用次数: 0
Deep Learning Approach for Traffic Congestion Sound Classification using Circular Neural Networks 利用环形神经网络进行交通拥堵声音分类的深度学习方法
Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI: 10.33395/sinkron.v8i3.13798
Muhammad Ariq Muthi, Putu Harry Gunawan
Traffic congestion has become one of the main problems that occur in big cities around the world. Traffic congestion also has a negative impact if not handled seriously. Traffic congestion occurs because there is a buildup of vehicle volume that exceeds the capacity of the road. The efficiency and quality of living in cities can be negatively impacted by traffic congestion, which can also result in higher fuel consumption, pollution, and delays. There needs to be a method that can overcome and identify this. Therefore, by classifying sounds, this research aims to reduce traffic congestion. The author uses deep learning with the Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) method as the algorithm model. The model employs Mel-Frequency Cepstral Coefficients (MFCC) as the primary feature extraction technique to capture the essential characteristics of the audio signals. This research is expected to be able to classify traffic congestion sounds with good accuracy, so it can be used as a solution to overcome traffic congestion. Experiments were conducted using a training dataset, and for testing, the road sound dataset has been collected at traffic light intersections. To evaluate the proposed method, the implementation showed promising results, achieving an accuracy of 97.62% on the training data and 88.19% on the test data in classifying traffic congestion sounds.
交通拥堵已成为世界各地大城市的主要问题之一。如果不认真对待,交通拥堵还会产生负面影响。发生交通拥堵的原因是车辆堆积超过了道路的承载能力。交通拥堵会对城市的效率和生活质量产生负面影响,还会导致更高的油耗、污染和延误。需要有一种方法能够克服和识别这种情况。因此,本研究旨在通过对声音进行分类来减少交通拥堵。作者使用深度学习的卷积神经网络(CNN)方法作为算法模型。该模型采用梅尔频率倒频谱系数(MFCC)作为主要特征提取技术,以捕捉音频信号的基本特征。这项研究有望以较高的准确率对交通拥堵声音进行分类,从而作为克服交通拥堵的一种解决方案。实验使用了训练数据集,并在交通灯路口收集了道路声音数据集进行测试。为了评估所提出的方法,实验结果表明,在对交通拥堵声音进行分类时,训练数据的准确率达到了 97.62%,测试数据的准确率达到了 88.19%。
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引用次数: 0
A CNN Model for ODOL Truck Detection 用于 ODOL 卡车检测的 CNN 模型
Pub Date : 2024-07-15 DOI: 10.33395/sinkron.v8i3.13780
Nurul Afifah Arifuddin, Kharisma Wiati Gusti, Rifka Dwi Amalia
This study developed a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) model as one of artificial intelligence method to detect trucks experiencing over-dimension and over-loading (ODOL). The primary goal of this research is to enhance the efficiency of truck monitoring, reduce road infrastructure damage, and support the sustainability of transportation using artificial intelligence approaches. The model was trained using a dataset consisting of ODOL and non-ODOL truck images, and successfully achieved a testing accuracy of 94.23%. The confusion matrix analysis demonstrated the model's ability to classify trucks with high precision.  Additional testing on truck images not included in the training or testing dataset showed the model's potential for good generalization.
本研究开发了一种卷积神经网络(CNN)模型,作为检测卡车超重和超载(ODOL)的人工智能方法之一。这项研究的主要目标是利用人工智能方法提高卡车监控效率,减少道路基础设施的损坏,并支持交通运输的可持续发展。该模型使用由 ODOL 和非 ODOL 卡车图像组成的数据集进行了训练,并成功实现了 94.23% 的测试准确率。混淆矩阵分析表明,该模型能够对卡车进行高精度分类。 对未包含在训练或测试数据集中的卡车图像进行的额外测试表明,该模型具有良好的泛化潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Analyzing Public Sentiment Towards BSI Service Disruptions Through X: Naïve Bayes Algorithm 通过 X 分析公众对 BSI 服务中断的情绪:奈夫贝叶斯算法
Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.33395/sinkron.v8i3.13729
Yudhistira Yudhistira, A. S. Talita
Disruptions to banking services can negatively affect customer trust and happiness, thus affecting the bank's reputation in the eyes of the public. Analysis of sentiment expressed on social media is very important because it can provide a direct picture of individual perceptions and responses in real time. This research aims to analyze public sentiment towards disruptions in Bank Syariah Indonesia (BSI) services through social media using the Naive Bayes algorithm. Through this analysis, the research seeks to understand the pattern of public responses and perceptions of BSI disruptions and evaluate the performance of the Naive Bayes algorithm in classifying sentiment on related tweet data. The data used came from specific social media platforms, where sentiment analysis was conducted by categorizing the data into positive, negative, and neutral categories. The research findings show that the sentiment analysis of the community towards BSI service disruptions through X social media platforms shows a diverse pattern of responses and perceptions. This finding recorded 525 data points with negative sentiment, 325 data points with neutral sentiment, and 141 data points with positive sentiment. The research also compared the performance of the Naive Bayes algorithm with the Google Cloud Natural Language API, which showed an accuracy rate of 81.03%. This research provides valuable insights for Bank Syariah Indonesia in understanding public perception of BSI services on social media.
银行服务中断会对客户的信任和满意度产生负面影响,从而影响银行在公众心目中的声誉。对社交媒体上表达的情绪进行分析非常重要,因为它可以直接反映个人的实时看法和反应。本研究旨在使用 Naive Bayes 算法,通过社交媒体分析公众对印尼伊斯兰银行(BSI)服务中断的情绪。通过分析,研究旨在了解公众对 BSI 服务中断的反应和看法模式,并评估 Naive Bayes 算法在对相关推文数据进行情感分类时的性能。所使用的数据来自特定的社交媒体平台,通过将数据分为正面、负面和中性类别来进行情感分析。研究结果表明,通过 X 社交媒体平台对 BSI 服务中断事件进行的情感分析表明,社区的反应和看法呈现出多样化的模式。这一结果记录了 525 个负面情绪数据点、325 个中性情绪数据点和 141 个正面情绪数据点。研究还比较了 Naive Bayes 算法和谷歌云自然语言应用程序接口的性能,结果显示准确率为 81.03%。这项研究为印尼伊斯兰银行了解公众对社交媒体上印尼伊斯兰银行服务的看法提供了宝贵的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Augmented Reality Learning Media Application In Computer Networking Courses 计算机网络课程中的增强现实学习媒体应用
Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.33395/sinkron.v8i3.13707
Novi Hendri Adi, Arina Luthfini Lubis, Ali Basriadi, Ika Parma Dewi, Yera Wahda Wahdi
In computer network learning, there is still little use of media which has an impact on students' understanding of device material and computer network topology. Augmented Reality (AR) based learning media can answer these problems by providing dynamic visualization and interactive simulations. The research objective is that AR applications can be used to help visualize abstract concepts for understanding and structure of an object model. The development method used is MDLC (Multimedia Development Life Cycle) which consists of six stages, namely concept, design, material collecting, assembly, testing, and distribution. The results of the AR application research show that the value of the learning media application in terms of material is declared valid at 0.85 and in terms of design it is declared valid at 0.86. The AR application was also stated to be very practical, this can be seen from the responses of lecturers and students with the practicality of the learning media application being 87% as seen from ease, motivation, attractiveness, and usefulness. From the results of this research, the AR learning media application is very practical to apply to students, especially in computer networking courses.  
在计算机网络学习中,影响学生理解设备材料和计算机网络拓扑结构的媒体使用仍然很少。基于增强现实技术(AR)的学习媒体可以通过提供动态可视化和互动模拟来解决这些问题。研究目标是,AR 应用程序可用于帮助可视化抽象概念,以便理解对象模型和结构。采用的开发方法是 MDLC(多媒体开发生命周期),包括六个阶段,即概念、设计、材料收集、组装、测试和分发。AR 应用研究结果表明,学习媒体应用在材料方面的有效值为 0.85,在设计方面的有效值为 0.86。AR 应用还被认为非常实用,这一点可以从讲师和学生的回答中看出,从易用性、动机、吸引力和实用性来看,学习媒体应用的实用性为 87%。从研究结果来看,AR 学习媒体应用对学生来说非常实用,尤其是在计算机网络课程中。
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引用次数: 0
Implementation of Random Forest Algorithm for Graduation Prediction 随机森林算法在毕业预测中的应用
Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.33395/sinkron.v8i3.13750
Fajar Riskiyono, Deni Mahdiana
University also has responsibility for the period of study taken by students in accordance with the level of education taken. The prediction of student study duration is designed to support the study program in guiding students to graduate on time. In this problem, data mining techniques can be applied to make predictions, namely by using the Random Forest classification method. The stages used in this study are data collecting, namely collecting student data, the data selection stage of 300 students with 5 (five) input data attributes including personal data (gender, age, marital status, job status) and academic data (grade) and 1 (one) attribute as an output containing choices about on time and late. The next stage is preprocessing with the aim of eliminating duplication, noise, and missing values, the stage of data transformation by normalizing age attributes (young and old), grade (large and small). Then the data split stage 3 times, namely 50/50, 40/60, and 30/60, the modeling stage with random forest, and finally, the evaluation stage by analyzing the confusion matrix consisting of accuracy, precision, and recall. The results of the study show that the proposed model can do well with predictions, that is, with the same results for all three data splits. The test value is 100% accuracy, 100% recall, and 100% precision. With this value, the success rate for predicting the timeliness of student graduation will be more accurate
大学也有责任根据学生所接受的教育水平来确定他们的学习期限。预测学生的学习期限是为了支持学习计划,指导学生按时毕业。在这个问题上,可以应用数据挖掘技术进行预测,即使用随机森林分类法。本研究采用的阶段包括数据收集,即收集学生数据;数据选择阶段,选择 300 名学生,输入 5 个数据属性,包括个人数据(性别、年龄、婚姻状况、工作状况)和学业数据(成绩);输出 1 个属性,包括准时和迟到的选择。下一阶段是预处理阶段,目的是消除重复、噪声和缺失值;数据转换阶段,对年龄属性(年轻和年老)、年级(大和小)进行归一化处理。然后是 3 次数据分割阶段,即 50/50、40/60 和 30/60;最后是使用随机森林建模阶段;最后是通过分析由准确率、精确率和召回率组成的混淆矩阵进行评估阶段。研究结果表明,所提出的模型可以很好地进行预测,即对所有三种数据分割的结果都相同。测试值为准确率 100%、召回率 100%、精确率 100%。在此数值下,预测学生毕业及时性的成功率将更加准确
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引用次数: 0
Comparison of K-Means and K-Medoids Clustering Algorithms for Export and Import Grouping of Goods in Indonesia K-Means 和 K-Medoids 聚类算法在印度尼西亚进出口货物分组中的比较
Pub Date : 2024-07-08 DOI: 10.33395/sinkron.v8i3.13815
Hazrul Anshari Ulvi, Muhammad Ikhsan
International relations affect the economic growth of each country, which can affect the economic growth of each country. As a result, global economic growth is necessary, which means that the global economy has a greater capacity to produce goods and services. Exports and imports are very important to drive economic growth. but if exports and imports are not balanced, it will have a bad impact if the value of imports is greater than exports, export prices abroad will definitely fall. An analysis comparing export and import categories is needed to determine which goods are most imported and exported in Indonesia in 2021-2023. This study uses a quantitative methodology and machine learning methods, namely k-means and k-medoids algorithms. These two methods will be compared to determine which is the most effective for export and import data of goods in Indonesia in 2021-2023. The results of the study were obtained by K-Means more effectively in handling data on the grouping of exports and imports of goods in Indonesia in 2021-2023. The dataset shows the results of the evaluation of K-Means using DBI of 0.59, while the results of the evaluation using K-Medoids show a result of 1.7868. Because the evaluation value of K-Means has low computing performance compared to K-Medoids.  The largest amount of the value and weight of exports and imports of goods in Indonesia is in C1 where in the HS code [27], namely Mineral fuels with a total export value of goods in 2021 to 2023 of 134,999,470,522 US$ and a total import value of 113,714,568,740 US$. Meanwhile, the total export weight of goods from 2021 to 2023 in mineral fuel goods is 1,505,006,250,327 Kg or around 1,658,985,413 tons and the total import weight is 186,446,782,134 Kg or around 205,522,397 tons.
国际关系会影响各国的经济增长,而经济增长又会影响各国的国际关系。因此,全球经济增长是必要的,这意味着全球经济有更大的能力生产商品和提供服务。出口和进口对推动经济增长非常重要。但如果出口和进口不平衡,就会产生不好的影响,如果进口值大于出口,国外的出口价格肯定会下降。需要对出口和进口类别进行比较分析,以确定 2021-2023 年印尼进口和出口最多的商品。本研究采用定量方法和机器学习方法,即 k-means 算法和 k-medoids 算法。将对这两种方法进行比较,以确定哪种方法对 2021-2023 年印尼商品的进出口数据最有效。研究结果表明,K-Means 算法在处理 2021-2023 年印尼货物进出口分组数据方面更为有效。数据集显示,使用 DBI 对 K-Means 的评估结果为 0.59,而使用 K-Medoids 的评估结果为 1.7868。因为与 K-Medoids 相比,K-Means 的评估值计算性能较低。 印尼进出口货物价值和重量最大的是 HS 编码[27]中的 C1,即矿物燃料,2021 年至 2023 年的货物出口总值为 134,999,470,522 美元,进口总值为 113,714,568,740 美元。同时,2021-2023 年矿物燃料商品出口总重量为 1,505,006,250,327 公斤,约合 1,658,985,413 吨,进口总重量为 186,446,782,134 公斤,约合 205,522,397 吨。
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