双控 "目标约束下的工业能源技术创新路径优化研究:安徽省蚌埠市案例研究

Mengxue Wang, Lishuang Hao, Xinyan Liu, Xinyu Huang
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摘要

中国之所以成为全球碳排放第一大国,根本原因在于能源及其相关产业体系主要依赖化石资源。为此,科学有序地推动能源结构及相关产业体系由高碳向低碳绿色发展,有助于实现 "双碳 "目标,支撑中国高质量可持续发展。其中,科技创新起着至关重要的作用。在 "双碳 "目标下,蚌埠探索能源技术创新--开发铜铟镓硒薄膜太阳能发电系统,为降低建筑碳排放、实现建筑与电网友好互动提供了新的发展思路。本文将探讨通过技术创新调整能源结构,实现碳排放峰值和碳中和目标的可行性,进而利用多属性决策模型等方法探索实现减排 "双控 "目标的最优路径。在生命周期评估的基础上,探讨可再生能源与经济、环境的权衡效应,最后采用归纳总结的方法,为制定优化能源结构的后续政策以及如何实现绿色低碳发展提供参考意见。
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Research on Path Optimization of Industrial Energy Technology Innovation under the Constraint of "Dual Control" Goals: A Case Study of Bengbu City, Anhui Province
The fundamental reason why China has become the country with the largest global carbon emissions is that energy and its related industrial systems mainly rely on fossil resources. To this end, promoting the energy structure and related industrial systems from high carbon to low-carbon green development in a scientific and orderly manner will help achieve the "dual carbon" goals and support China's high-quality and sustainable development. Among them, technological innovation plays a crucial role. Under the dual carbon goal, Bengbu explores energy technology innovation - developing copper indium gallium selenium thin film solar power generation systems, providing new development ideas for reducing building carbon emissions and achieving friendly interaction between buildings and the power grid. This article will explore the feasibility of adjusting the energy structure through technological innovation to achieve carbon emissions peak and carbon neutrality goals, and then use multi-attribute decision-making models and other methods to explore the optimal path to achieve the "dual control" goal of emissions reduction. Based on life cycle assessment, the trade-off effect of renewable energy, economy, and environment will be explored, Finally, the inductive summary method is used to provide reference opinions for the formulation of follow-up policies to optimize energy structure and how to achieve green and low-carbon development.
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