孟买证券交易所无条件高矩阵 CAPM 有效性的经验证据

Akash Asthana, Syed Shafi Ahmed, Anjana Tiwari
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摘要

传统的资本资产定价模型(CAPM)假定收益率呈正态分布,而夏普-林特纳资本资产定价模型(Sharpe-Lintner CAPM)承认收益率呈非正态分布,因此受到了许多研究人员的批评。引入无条件高阶矩,即共偏度和共峰度,作为系统性风险的额外衡量指标,可以增强模型的解释力,尤其是在股票收益分布函数不对称的情况下。本研究利用 2011 年 4 月至 2021 年 3 月期间的行业指数数据,实证研究了无条件高阶矩 CAPM 在印度股市(即孟买证券交易所)的适用性以及高阶矩的影响。为了对四阶 CAPM 进行实证检验,本研究采用了 Fang 和 Lai 所给出的规范。本研究的结果显示,高矩数(余弦度和峰度)对印度股票市场的回报率有显著的定价和影响。发现协方差的市场风险溢价并不显著。此外,与截距项有关的假设被接受,市场风险溢价被拒绝。结果表明,与无条件 CAPM 模型相比,该模型的解释力有所提高,因为其 R 方值优于后者。喜忧参半且无定论的研究结果与印度的模型相矛盾。印度应采用法马--法国三因子和五因子模型等替代模型,因为这些模型在印度很少使用。
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Empirical Evidence on the Validity of the Unconditional Higher Moment CAPM in the Bombay Stock Exchange
The traditional Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) assumed a normal distribution of returns, which was criticized by various researchers who recognized the non-normal distribution of returns in the Sharpe-Lintner CAPM. The introduction of unconditional higher moments, namely co-skewness and co-kurtosis, as additional measures of systematic risk may enhance the model's explanatory power, especially when the distribution function of stock returns is asymmetric. The present study empirically investigates the applicability of unconditional higher order moment CAPM and the impact of higher moments in the Indian stock market i.e. Bombay Stock Exchange using the data of sectoral indices for the period from April 2011 to March 2021. To test the four moment CAPM empirically, the specification given by Fang and Lai has been used in the study. The findings of the present study revealed that the higher moments (coskewness and cokurtosis) are significantly priced and have impact on the returns in the Indian stock market. The market risk premium for covariance was found to be insignificant. Further the hypothesis related to intercept term was accepted and market risk premiums were rejected. The results showed an increase in the explanatory power of the model as compared to the unconditional CAPM as the R-square value of the model was obtained better than the latter model. The mixed and inconclusive findings contradicted the model in the Indian context. The alternate models like the Fama-French three factor and five factor model should be exploited in the Indian context as those models have been rarely used in the Indian context.
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