郯庐断层带中段南侧的震间滑移分布和锁定特征

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摘要

根据1991-2007年(第一阶段)和2013-2018年(第二阶段)的GPS水平速度场,我们采用块体负位错模型反演了郯庐(郯城-庐江)断裂带不同区段的断层耦合和滑移率亏损分布。通过对比变形特征结果,探讨了变形特征与日本 M 地震的关系。结果表明,与第一阶段相比,第二阶段郯城北段的断层耦合率有所降低。但两个阶段的结果表明,莒县北段仍具有较高的耦合率、较深的阻滞深度和右旋压缩性亏损,是 1668 年郯城地震的诱发段。同时,区域应变结果表明,第二阶段中部和东部地区的应变速率较第一阶段明显增强。日本大地震的发生对缓解郯庐断裂带中段和南段的应变累积起到了特殊作用。最大剪切应变结果表明,郯庐断裂带中段第二阶段的剪切应变弱于第一阶段,而南段的最大剪切应变强于第一阶段。泗洪南至嘉善段断层耦合系数较高,也是历史地震的未破坏段。同时,该地区小震不活跃,应力易积累,未来地震风险值得关注。
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Interseismic slip distribution and locking characteristics of the mid-southern segment of the Tanlu fault zone

We employ the block negative dislocation model to invert the distribution of fault coupling and slip rate deficit on the different segments of the Tanlu (Tancheng-Lujiang) fault zone, according to the GPS horizontal velocity field from 1991 to 2007 (the first phase) and 2013 to 2018 (the second phase). By comparing the deformation characteristics results, we discuss the relationship between the deformation characteristics with the M earthquake in Japan. The results showed that the fault coupling rate of the northern section of Tancheng in the second phase reduced compared with that in the first phase. However, the results of the two phases showed that the northern section of Juxian still has a high coupling rate, a deep blocking depth, and a dextral compressive deficit, which is the enrapture section of the 1668 Tancheng earthquake. At the same time, the area strain results show that the strain rate of the central and eastern regions of the second phase is obviously enhanced compared with that of the first phase. The occurrence of the great earthquake in Japan has played a specific role in alleviating the strain accumulation in the middle and south sections of the Tanlu fault zone. The results of the maximum shear strain show that the shear strain in the middle section of the Tanlu fault zone in the second phase is weaker than that in the first phase, and the maximum shear strain in the southern section is stronger than that in the first phase. The fault coupling coefficient of the south Sihong to Jiashan section is high, and it is also the unruptured section of historical earthquakes. At the same time, small earthquakes in this area are not active and accumulate stress easily, so the future earthquake risk deserves attention.

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