中国政府的政策会影响房地产企业的业绩吗?

IF 2 4区 管理学 Q3 MANAGEMENT International Journal of Strategic Property Management Pub Date : 2024-02-27 DOI:10.3846/ijspm.2024.20944
Lihua Zhang, Yueji Xin, Rui Han, Xili Zhang, Ning Hao, Lele Li, Juanfeng Zhang
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摘要

近几十年来,中国中央政府对房地产业采取了一系列宏观经济紧缩和宽松政策措施,以稳定房地产市场。然而,我们对这些政策及其对房地产企业的影响了解有限。本文通过收集 2007 年至 2019 年中国的国家住房政策,构建了政府对房地产业的政策指数。我们基于在中国 A 股市场上市的 103 家房地产企业的数据,利用该指数量化政府政策对房地产企业绩效的影响。面板数据回归得出了两个重要结论。第一,房地产政策收紧显著降低了房地产企业的盈利能力(ROA 和 ROE),同时增加了其流动性风险。其次,异质性分析表明,与非国有企业相比,房地产紧缩政策对国有房地产企业的下行影响更为温和。
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DO CHINESE GOVERNMENT POLICIES AFFECT PERFORMANCE OF REAL ESTATE ENTERPRISES?
The Chinese central government has instituted a series of macro-economic tightening and easing policy measures on the real estate industry to stabilize the housing market in recent decades. However, our understanding of these policies and their impact on real estate firms is limited. This paper constructs an index of government policies on the real estate industry by collecting national housing policies in China from 2007 to 2019. We use this index to quantify the impact of government policies on real estate enterprises’ performance, based on data from 103 real estate enterprises listed on the Chinese A-share market. Two important conclusions are drawn from the panel data regression. First, tightened real estate policies significantly lower real estate enterprises’ profitability (ROA and ROE), while increase their liquidity risk. Second, the heterogeneity analysis shows that the tightened real estate policies yield downward impact more mildly on state-owned real estate enterprises than non-state-owned enterprises.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.00
自引率
18.50%
发文量
23
审稿时长
15 weeks
期刊介绍: International Journal of Strategic Property Management is a peer-reviewed, interdisciplinary journal which publishes original research papers. The journal provides a forum for discussion and debate relating to all areas of strategic property management. Topics include, but are not limited to, the following: asset management, facilities management, property policy, budgeting and financial controls, enhancing residential property value, marketing and leasing, risk management, real estate valuation and investment, innovations in residential management, housing finance, sustainability and housing development, applications, etc.
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