低利率与写字楼市场的非创造性破坏

Krzysztof Olszewski, Dariusz Trojanowski, J. Łaszek
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摘要

全球金融危机爆发后,经济增长乏力,为支持经济增长,全球经济开始实行低利率。在房地产领域,低利率通常会导致投资和价格的繁荣。然而,这种繁荣并没有遍及整个经济,而是集中在大城市。我们以波兰华沙的写字楼市场为例说明这一现象。虽然在现代办公空间供应不足的小城市发展办公空间对波兰经济有利,但投资者却主要集中在首都。这不仅导致了建筑用地和建筑成本的增加,也将一些相对较新的现有办公楼挤出了市场。我们将这种行为称为 "非创造性破坏",并解释了其产生的原因。
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Low Interest Rates and Uncreative Destruction in the Office Market
Low interest rates were introduced in the global economy to support the weak economic growth that followed the global financial crisis. In the real estate sector, low interest rates usually lead to a boom in investment and prices. This boom, however, is not spread throughout the economy, but rather concentrated in major cities. We demonstrate this phenomenon on the example of the office market in Warsaw (Poland). While it would be beneficial for the Polish economy to develop office space in smaller cities that have an insufficient supply of modern office space, investors have focused mainly on the capital. This has not only led to an increase in the cost of building land and construction, but has also pushed some relatively new existing office buildings off the market. We call such behaviour uncreative destruction and explain why it was possible.
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