孟加拉国服务业增长对产出增长影响的实证研究

Tonmoyee Hasan, Mohammad Morshedul Hoque
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摘要

由于孟加拉国服务经济的重要性与日俱增,而且该国的工业部门也在不断扩大,因此加强服务部门已成为首要目标。鉴于服务业的规模和与其他经济部门的相互关联性,了解服务业如何影响其他宏观经济变量(尤其是产出增长)至关重要。我们的首要目标是调查和分析服务业的现状,以确定其对经济增长的贡献。本研究采用系统的计量经济学方法和 1972 年至 2021 年的年度数据进行调查。研究结果表明,孟加拉国服务业的发展会对该国的人均收入(PCI)增长率产生积极影响。特别是,如果服务业增长提高一个百分点,人均实际 GDP 增长将提高 0.62 个百分点。这一发现具有重要的政策意义。最重要的是,政府需要制定政策,促进国家服务业的发展,努力实现经济繁荣。JEL Codes:L80, O11, O14
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An Empirical Study of the Implications of Service Sector Growth for Output Growth in Bangladesh
Due to the growing importance of Bangladesh’s service economy and the country’s expanding industrial sector, strengthening the service sector has become a primary objective. Given the size and interconnectedness of the services sector with the rest of the economy, it is critical to understand how it affects other macroeconomic variables, most notably output growth. Our primary objective is to survey and analyse the service sector’s current state to ascertain its contribution to economic growth. This study undertakes this investigation using systematic econometric approaches and annual data from 1972 to 2021. Findings suggest that expanding the service industry in Bangladesh positively impacts the country’s per capita income (PCI) growth rate. Particularly, if the service sector growth increases by one percentage point, the growth of per capita real GDP will increase by 0.62 percentage points. The finding has important policy implications. Most importantly, government needs to enact policies to promote the service sector of the country in an effort to achieve economic prosperity. JEL Codes: L80, O11, O14
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