洪水灾害预警小组决策支持系统建模

Arief A. Soebroto, L. Limantara, E. Suhartanto, Moh. Sholichin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

洪水灾害预警需要全面开展,以避免更高的灾害风险。洪水灾害预警的每一个决策都是由一方(即政府或水资源管理者)部分执行的。本研究旨在通过群体决策支持系统模型(GDSS)为洪水灾害预警提供一个协作决策模型,尤其是在印度尼西亚。本研究的新颖之处在于,GDSS 模型涉及多个决策者和多标准决策,用于印度尼西亚东爪哇省 Mojokerto 县 Kali Sadar 河下游的洪水灾害预警。GDSS 模型的开发采用了一种混合方法,即分析网络过程 (ANP) 和 VlseKriterijumska Optimizacija I Kompromisno Resenje (VIKOR)。决策结果不止一个;投票采用 BORDA 方法产生决策。使用斯皮尔曼等级相关系数 0.8425 和矩阵混淆法得出了 GDSS 的测试结果,准确率为 86.7%,精确率为 86.7%,召回率为 86.7%,f-measure 为 86.7%。根据测试结果,GDSS 模型取得了良好的效果。Doi: 10.28991/CEJ-2024-010-02-018 全文:PDF
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Modelling of Flood Hazard Early Warning Group Decision Support System
Early warning of flood hazards needs to be carried out comprehensively to avoid a higher risk of disaster. Every decision on early warning of a flood hazard is carried out in part by one party, namely the government or water resource managers. This research aims to provide a collaborative decision-making model for early warning of flood hazards through a Group Decision Support System Model (GDSS), especially in Indonesia. The novelty of this research is that the GDSS model involves more than one decision-maker and multi-criteria decision-making for early warning of flood hazards in the downstream Kali Sadar River, Mojokerto Regency, East Java Province, Indonesia. The GDSS model was developed using a hybrid method, namely the Analytical Network Process (ANP) and VlseKriterijumska Optimizacija I Kompromisno Resenje (VIKOR). There was more than one decision result; voting was carried out using the BORDA method to produce the decision. The test results of GDSS were obtained using a Spearman rank correlation coefficient of 0.8425 and matrix confusion, an accuracy value of 86.7%, a precision value of 86.7%, a recall value of 86.7%, and an f-measure of 86.7%. Based on the test results, good results were obtained from the GDSS model. Doi: 10.28991/CEJ-2024-010-02-018 Full Text: PDF
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