利用系统动力学实现水稻自给自足和灌溉优化

.. Asmelita, L. Limantara, M. Bisri, W. Soetopo, I. Farni
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摘要

这项研究旨在优化灌溉渠的成果,在不降低地区水稻自给率的情况下将其功能转化为渔业。然而,灌溉是一种需要优化利用的基础设施资产。在研究地点(西苏门答腊省),水源和灌溉基础设施可以为稻田提供更多益处,而稻田的功能则是渔业。本研究的目的是提出水稻灌溉地和渔业灌溉地的最佳组合。由于使用了 BPS 官方数据,因此研究方法采用了系统动力学。这种系统动力学方法使用了许多工具,如因果图、原型系统、存量和流量图以及超时空行为图。本研究中用于模拟程序的 DSS 生成器使用了 Stella,这是水资源系统方法中的一种新模式。结果表明,将稻田改种罗非鱼渔业每年每公顷可增加收入约 1.26 亿盾。西苏门答腊省作为国家稻米粮仓,有许多地区的稻米都比较自给自足,因此可以考虑利用灌溉来发展渔业。西苏门答腊省县/市一级在保持稻米自给自足的同时,可转化为渔业的稻田潜力超过 6.1 万公顷,每年可增加收入约 7.7 万亿美元。Doi: 10.28991/CEJ-2024-010-02-010 全文:PDF
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Rice Self-Sufficiency and Optimization of Irrigation by Using System Dynamic
This research intends to optimize the results of irrigation canals with the conversion of function to fisheries without reducing rice self-sufficiency regionally. However, irrigation is an infrastructure asset that needs to be used optimally. It is due to the water; water sources and irrigation infrastructure can provide more benefits to rice fields, which are to function as fisheries in the study location (West Sumatra Province). The aim of this research is to propose the optimal combinations of irrigated land planted with rice and those in the form of fisheries. The methodology uses System Dynamics due to the official BPS data. There are many tools that are used in this system dynamics approach, such as causal diagrams, archetype systems, diagrams of stock and flow, and the behavior of over-time graphs. The DSS generator for simulating the program in this study uses Stella, which is a new paradigm in the water resources system approach. The result shows that the potential increase in income that could be obtained by converting the rice fields to tilapia fisheries is about 126 million Rupiah per year per hectare. West Sumatra Province, as a national rice granary, has many districts that are more self-sufficient in rice, so it can be considered to utilize irrigation to become the irrigation for fisheries. The potential of rice fields that can be converted into fisheries while maintaining self-sufficiency in rice at the district/city level of West Sumatra Province is more than 61 thousand hectares, and it generates an increase in income of about 7.7 trillion per year. Doi: 10.28991/CEJ-2024-010-02-010 Full Text: PDF
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