产业结构在环境监管对碳生产力影响中的作用

Chenyang Liu
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摘要

在全球气候变化的背景下,我国提出了 "碳峰值、碳中和目标",即到 2030 年碳排放达到碳峰值,到 2060 年实现碳中和。作为促进温室气体减排的市场化环境调节政策,碳排放权交易政策有望减少碳排放,提高碳生产率,其中产业结构对碳排放权交易政策对碳生产率的影响起着调节作用。本文利用我国2006-2019年的省级数据,以产业结构为调节变量,评价了碳排放权交易政策对碳排放的影响,研究了产业结构在环境规制对碳排放影响中的作用,并通过平行趋势检验、安慰剂检验和PSM-DID模型回归检验了DID模型的回归结果。经过上述研究过程,得出以下结论:碳排放权交易政策对碳减排具有显著的正向促进作用,并进一步得出在碳排放权交易政策下,产业结构对碳生产率具有显著的负向调节作用。
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The Role of Industrial Structure in the Impact of Environmental Regulation on Carbon Productivity
In the context of global climate change, China has proposed the "Carbon peaking and Carbon neutrality goals" goal of carbon emissions will reach carbon peak by 2030 and carbon neutral by 2060. As a market-based environmental regulation policy to promote greenhouse gas emission reduction, carbon emission trading policy is expected to reduce carbon emissions and improve carbon productivity, among which industrial structure plays a regulatory role in the impact of carbon emission trading policy on carbon productivity. Using the provincial data of China from 2006 to 2019, this paper evaluated the influence of carbon emission trading policy on carbon emission, taking the industrial structure as the regulating variable, studied the industrial structure in the influence of environmental regulation on carbon emission, and tested the regression results of DID model through parallel trend test, placebo test and PSM-DID model regression. After the above research process, the following conclusions are drawn: the carbon emission trading policy has a significant positive promotion effect on carbon emission reduction, and it is further concluded that the industrial structure has a significant negative regulatory effect on carbon productivity under the carbon emission trading policy.
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