重要方面--为什么货币政策在格鲁吉亚行不通

Ramaz Gerliani Ramaz Gerliani, Giga Tvauri Giga Tvauri
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摘要

格鲁吉亚是一个发展中经济体,国内生产总值为 723 亿格鲁吉亚列伊(268 亿美元)(Geostat 2022)。该国的宏观经济参数对各种问题反应敏感。由于本国或外国因素的影响,该国的通货膨胀率在近 18 个月内达到两位数(Geostat 2022),这对国家和人民来说都是巨大的损失。本文介绍了货币政策的若干方面,即利率和货币工具对通货膨胀调节或汇率稳定的不当影响,这是以压倒一切的理性预期和规范经济学理解为条件的。文章运用 "微观-宏观综合 "分析方法,论述了居民收入和消费篮子的需求弹性对有效使用货币工具的重要性;家庭农场的预算限制;货币工具使用期限(时间)对货币政策的影响以及家庭和企业实体 "理性预期 "和 "信息获取不对称 "的科学条件。讨论了非包容性经济增长对货币工具有效性的影响。最后,我们通过讨论得出结论:在有效使用货币政策工具时,应考虑到上述经济方面,包括微观经济方面。关键词通货膨胀 货币政策 利率 宏观经济
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IMPORTANT ASPECTS - WHY MONETARY POLICY DOES NOT WORK IN GEORGIA
Georgia is a developing economy with a gross domestic product of 72.3 billion GEL ($26.8 billion) (Geostat 2022). Macroeconomic parameters in the country react sensitively to various issues. Due to the impact of local or foreign factors, the rate of inflation in the country was double-digit for almost 18 months (Geostat 2022), which was a great loss for the country and its population. This article presents a number of aspects of monetary policy, namely the interest rate and the inappropriate effect of monetary instruments on inflation regulation or exchange rate stabilization, which is conditioned by the overriding rational expectation and normative economic understanding. Using the "micro-macro synthesis" and analysis, the article discusses how important the incomes of citizens and the demand elasticity of the consumer basket are for the effective use of monetary instruments; budget limitation of family farms; The influence of the duration (time) of the use of monetary instruments on monetary policy and the scientific condition of "rational expectation" and "asymmetric information acquisition" by households and business entities. Discussion of the impact of non-inclusive economic growth on the effectiveness of monetary instruments is opened. Finally, we conclude from the discussion that the mentioned economic aspects should be taken into account, including microeconomic ones, when using the monetary policy tools effectively. Keywords: Inflation, Monetary policy, Interest rate, Macroeconomics.
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