使用灵活的混合集合方法解决典型的小样本量 MRSM 数据集问题,提高可信度

D. Chikobvu, Domingo Pavolo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

多反应表面方法通常涉及小数据分析,从统计学角度看,存在回归模型可信度问题。数据集、模型选择和求解方法的不确定性使问题更加严重。在同步优化过程中,为每个响应选择和使用单一最佳模型的求解方法很难有效应对这些问题。本文利用模型选择标准选择不同的事实,在一个灵活的混合集合系统中,生成多个解决方案进行整合和比较。在同步优化过程中,计算并分析了带有偏差-方差-协方差分解值的均方预测误差。结果表明,在使用多种模型、解决方法和结果时,最终解决方案的可信度会得到提高。然而,结果并未显示小样本量校正对模型选择标准的任何意义,而且在同步优化时对偏差-方差-协方差分解的分析并不鼓励依赖理论最优性来获得最佳结果。
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Solving a Typical Small Sample Size MRSM Dataset Problem Using a Flexible Hybrid Ensemble Approach for Credibility
Multiresponse surface methodology often involves small data analytics which, statistically, have regression modelling credibility problems. This is worsened by dataset, model selection and solution methodology uncertainties. It is difficult for solution methodologies which select and use single best models per response at simultaneous optimisation to effectively deal with these problems. This paper exploited the fact that model selection criteria choose differently, in a flexible hybrid ensemble system, to generate several solutions for integration and comparison. Mean square prediction error, with bias-variance-covariance decomposition values, was computed and analysed at simultaneous optimisation. Results suggest that the credibility of the final solution is enhanced when working with multiple models, solution methodologies and results. However, the results do not show any significance of small sample size correction to model selection criteria and analysis of bias-variance-covariance decompositions at simultaneous optimisation does not encourage dependence on theoretical optimality for best results.
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