识别高碰撞信号交叉路口并应用《公路安全手册》预测法减少碰撞事故

Nasreen Hussein
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摘要

减少道路碰撞事故取决于准确识别碰撞事故高发地点(HCL),并提出适当的解决方案和预防措施。虽然并不是所有的车祸都是由于道路的缺陷造成的,但如果车祸集中发生在一个地点,则表明公路系统可能存在故障。通过详细调查撞车记录,可以确定这些危险路段,然后通过进一步的评估来进行改进,从而减少未来撞车事故的数量和严重程度。本研究的主要目标是确定杜霍克市的 HCL,并使用碰撞频率法、碰撞率法和临界碰撞率法等数学方法对信号交叉路口进行排序,同时使用《公路安全手册》确定可减少信号交叉路口碰撞事故的可行处理方法。碰撞事故的类型分布表明,追尾、撞角和侧擦是这些交叉路口常见的碰撞事故类型。结果表明,在交叉路口中,Tax、Benavi 1、Benavi 2、Commerce 和 Etite 交叉路口是危险地点。公路安全手册》(HSM)预测方法允许公路机构的设计工程师估算几种设计方案的可测量安全影响,并为其设计决策提供解释。结果表明,一种预防撞车的方法/对策可能会有效;但是,多种方法和/或对策的组合将产生更大的影响。此外,结果表明,在交叉路口采用所有处理方法后,对可能的平均碰撞频率有显著影响。
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Identifying High Crash Signalized Intersections and Application of Highway Safety Manual Predictive Method to Reduce Crashes
Road crash reduction depends on the precise identification of High Crash Locations (HCLs) and suggesting appropriate solutions and preventative measures. Though not all crashes are owing to defective characteristics of the roadway, a concentration of crashes at one location suggests that there may be a failure in the highway system. Identification of these HCLs can be achieved by detailed investigation of crash records, and further evaluations can then result in improvements that will decrease the number and severity of future crashes. The primary goal of this study is to identify HCLs in Duhok City and rank the signalized intersections using mathematical methods such as crash frequency method, crash rate method and critical crash rate method and identify possible treatments that reduce crashes at signalized intersections using the Highway Safety Manual. Distribution of crashes by type indicates that the rear end, angle, and sideswipe are common types of crashes that occur at these intersections. The results indicated that of intersections, Tax, Benavi 1, Benavi 2, Commerce, and Etite intersections are hazardous locations. The Highway Safety Manual (HSM) predictive method allows the design engineer in a road agency to estimate the measurable safety impacts of several design proposals and offer explanations for their design decisions. The results show that one approach/countermeasure to crash prevention may work effectively; however, a combination of approaches and/or countermeasures will have a greater impact. Furthermore, the results showed that there is a significant effect on the probable average crash frequency after all treatments applied at intersections.
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