具有梯度调整功能的渔业经济模型的全球动态变化

Huan Zhou, Xian-Feng Li, Jun Jiang, Andrew Y. T. Leung
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摘要

考虑到非线性需求函数,我们建立了一个多代理渔业经济模型,其中众多代理都受到理性的约束。这些代理的捕鱼决策由利润梯度机制驱动。为了评估系统的局部稳定性,我们使用 Jury 准则进行了稳定性分析。调查显示,存在两条通向混沌的常规路径,即翻转分岔和 Neimark-Sacker 分岔。这是通过绘制纳什均衡的稳定区域和稳定曲线实现的。在二维平面上进一步探讨了系统的多稳定性,在二维平面上证明了联合参数对系统稳定性的影响。阿诺德之舌的存在展示了系统不同尺度上无与伦比的复杂性和错综复杂的相互作用。临界曲线和吸引盆地都得到了说明,以深入了解全局分岔。研究发现,混沌吸引子被限制在特定的边界内。研究结果清楚地表明,最大瞬时需求较高,调整速度相对较慢,价格敏感性较低。可以说,控制成本将导致渔业资源的可持续发展。此外,研究结果还表明,受限条件下的行为主体将获益更多。
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Global Dynamics of a Fisheries Economic Model with Gradient Adjustment
Taking into account the nonlinear demand function, we have developed a multi-agent fishery economic model, where a multitude of agents are bounded by rationality. The fishing decisions of these agents are driven by a profit gradient mechanism. To assess the local stability of the system, stability analysis is performed with the Jury criterion. The investigation has revealed the presence of two conventional paths to chaos, namely, the flip bifurcation and the Neimark–Sacker bifurcation. This was achieved by mapping the stability regions and stability curves of the Nash equilibrium. The multistability of the system is further explored on two-dimensional planes on which the influence of joint parameters on the system’s stability is demonstrated. The existence of Arnold’s tongue has demonstrated unparalleled complexity and intricate interactions across different scales of the system. Both critical curves and basins of attraction are illustrated to gain insight into global bifurcations. The chaotic attractor is found to be confined within specific boundaries. The findings clearly show higher maximum instantaneous demand, relatively slower adjustment speed, and lower price sensitivity. Arguably, a controlled cost would lead to sustainable fishing resources. Moreover, the results also suggest that the agents would benefit more from confined conditions.
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