将空间位置序列关注与深度网络相结合,用于多涡轮机短期风电预测

IF 1.9 4区 工程技术 Q4 ENERGY & FUELS Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI:10.1063/5.0187227
Qianyue Wang, Gangquan Si, Kai Qu, Zihan Shan, Jiahui Gong, Chen Yang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

多涡轮机风力发电(WP)预测有助于风力涡轮机(WT)管理和风电场的精细化运营。然而,风力涡轮机之间错综复杂的动态关系阻碍了充分挖掘其在改进预测方面的潜力。本文提出了一种新颖的空间位置序列注意长短期记忆(SPSA-LSTM)方法,该方法可从不同风电机组的风速(WS)和风压(WP)历史数据中提取隐藏的相关性和时间特征,用于高精度短期预测。利用嵌入技术,我们将风电机组的关键空间位置信息纳入时间序列,从而增强了模型的代表性。此外,我们还采用了一种具有强大关系建模能力的自我关注机制来提取时间序列之间的相关特征。这种方法具有出色的学习能力,能够深入探索输入内部复杂的相互依存关系。因此,每个 WT 都拥有一个综合数据集,其中包括来自所有其他 WT 及其自身 WS 和 WP 的注意力分数。LSTM 融合这些特征并提取时间模式,最终生成 WP 预测输出。在 20 个 WT 上进行的实验表明,我们的方法明显优于其他基线方法。消融实验进一步证明了该方法在利用空间嵌入优化预测性能方面的有效性。
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Integrating spatio-positional series attention to deep network for multi-turbine short-term wind power prediction
Multi-turbine wind power (WP) prediction contributes to wind turbine (WT) management and refined wind farm operations. However, the intricate and dynamic nature of the interrelationships among WTs hinders the full exploration of their potential in improving prediction. This paper proposes a novel spatio-positional series attention long short-term memory (SPSA-LSTM) method, which extracts the hidden correlations and temporal features from wind speed (WS) and WP historical data of different WTs for high-precision short-term prediction. Using embedding techniques, we incorporate crucial spatial location information of WTs into time series, enhancing the model's representative capability. Furthermore, we employ a self-attention mechanism with strong relational modeling capability to extract the correlation features among time series. This approach possesses remarkable learning abilities, enabling the thorough exploration of the complex interdependencies within inputs. Consequently, each WT is endowed with a comprehensive dataset comprising attention scores from all other WTs and its own WS and WP. The LSTM fuses these features and extracts temporal patterns, ultimately generating the WP prediction outputs. Experiments conducted on 20 WTs demonstrate that our method significantly surpasses other baselines. Ablation experiments provide further evidence to support the effectiveness of the approach in leveraging spatial embedding to optimize prediction performance.
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来源期刊
Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy
Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy ENERGY & FUELS-ENERGY & FUELS
CiteScore
4.30
自引率
12.00%
发文量
122
审稿时长
4.2 months
期刊介绍: The Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy (JRSE) is an interdisciplinary, peer-reviewed journal covering all areas of renewable and sustainable energy relevant to the physical science and engineering communities. The interdisciplinary approach of the publication ensures that the editors draw from researchers worldwide in a diverse range of fields. Topics covered include: Renewable energy economics and policy Renewable energy resource assessment Solar energy: photovoltaics, solar thermal energy, solar energy for fuels Wind energy: wind farms, rotors and blades, on- and offshore wind conditions, aerodynamics, fluid dynamics Bioenergy: biofuels, biomass conversion, artificial photosynthesis Distributed energy generation: rooftop PV, distributed fuel cells, distributed wind, micro-hydrogen power generation Power distribution & systems modeling: power electronics and controls, smart grid Energy efficient buildings: smart windows, PV, wind, power management Energy conversion: flexoelectric, piezoelectric, thermoelectric, other technologies Energy storage: batteries, supercapacitors, hydrogen storage, other fuels Fuel cells: proton exchange membrane cells, solid oxide cells, hybrid fuel cells, other Marine and hydroelectric energy: dams, tides, waves, other Transportation: alternative vehicle technologies, plug-in technologies, other Geothermal energy
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