Qianyue Wang, Gangquan Si, Kai Qu, Zihan Shan, Jiahui Gong, Chen Yang
{"title":"将空间位置序列关注与深度网络相结合,用于多涡轮机短期风电预测","authors":"Qianyue Wang, Gangquan Si, Kai Qu, Zihan Shan, Jiahui Gong, Chen Yang","doi":"10.1063/5.0187227","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Multi-turbine wind power (WP) prediction contributes to wind turbine (WT) management and refined wind farm operations. However, the intricate and dynamic nature of the interrelationships among WTs hinders the full exploration of their potential in improving prediction. This paper proposes a novel spatio-positional series attention long short-term memory (SPSA-LSTM) method, which extracts the hidden correlations and temporal features from wind speed (WS) and WP historical data of different WTs for high-precision short-term prediction. Using embedding techniques, we incorporate crucial spatial location information of WTs into time series, enhancing the model's representative capability. Furthermore, we employ a self-attention mechanism with strong relational modeling capability to extract the correlation features among time series. This approach possesses remarkable learning abilities, enabling the thorough exploration of the complex interdependencies within inputs. Consequently, each WT is endowed with a comprehensive dataset comprising attention scores from all other WTs and its own WS and WP. The LSTM fuses these features and extracts temporal patterns, ultimately generating the WP prediction outputs. Experiments conducted on 20 WTs demonstrate that our method significantly surpasses other baselines. Ablation experiments provide further evidence to support the effectiveness of the approach in leveraging spatial embedding to optimize prediction performance.","PeriodicalId":16953,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9000,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Integrating spatio-positional series attention to deep network for multi-turbine short-term wind power prediction\",\"authors\":\"Qianyue Wang, Gangquan Si, Kai Qu, Zihan Shan, Jiahui Gong, Chen Yang\",\"doi\":\"10.1063/5.0187227\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Multi-turbine wind power (WP) prediction contributes to wind turbine (WT) management and refined wind farm operations. However, the intricate and dynamic nature of the interrelationships among WTs hinders the full exploration of their potential in improving prediction. This paper proposes a novel spatio-positional series attention long short-term memory (SPSA-LSTM) method, which extracts the hidden correlations and temporal features from wind speed (WS) and WP historical data of different WTs for high-precision short-term prediction. Using embedding techniques, we incorporate crucial spatial location information of WTs into time series, enhancing the model's representative capability. Furthermore, we employ a self-attention mechanism with strong relational modeling capability to extract the correlation features among time series. This approach possesses remarkable learning abilities, enabling the thorough exploration of the complex interdependencies within inputs. Consequently, each WT is endowed with a comprehensive dataset comprising attention scores from all other WTs and its own WS and WP. The LSTM fuses these features and extracts temporal patterns, ultimately generating the WP prediction outputs. Experiments conducted on 20 WTs demonstrate that our method significantly surpasses other baselines. Ablation experiments provide further evidence to support the effectiveness of the approach in leveraging spatial embedding to optimize prediction performance.\",\"PeriodicalId\":16953,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0187227\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"ENERGY & FUELS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0187227","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"ENERGY & FUELS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Integrating spatio-positional series attention to deep network for multi-turbine short-term wind power prediction
Multi-turbine wind power (WP) prediction contributes to wind turbine (WT) management and refined wind farm operations. However, the intricate and dynamic nature of the interrelationships among WTs hinders the full exploration of their potential in improving prediction. This paper proposes a novel spatio-positional series attention long short-term memory (SPSA-LSTM) method, which extracts the hidden correlations and temporal features from wind speed (WS) and WP historical data of different WTs for high-precision short-term prediction. Using embedding techniques, we incorporate crucial spatial location information of WTs into time series, enhancing the model's representative capability. Furthermore, we employ a self-attention mechanism with strong relational modeling capability to extract the correlation features among time series. This approach possesses remarkable learning abilities, enabling the thorough exploration of the complex interdependencies within inputs. Consequently, each WT is endowed with a comprehensive dataset comprising attention scores from all other WTs and its own WS and WP. The LSTM fuses these features and extracts temporal patterns, ultimately generating the WP prediction outputs. Experiments conducted on 20 WTs demonstrate that our method significantly surpasses other baselines. Ablation experiments provide further evidence to support the effectiveness of the approach in leveraging spatial embedding to optimize prediction performance.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Renewable and Sustainable Energy (JRSE) is an interdisciplinary, peer-reviewed journal covering all areas of renewable and sustainable energy relevant to the physical science and engineering communities. The interdisciplinary approach of the publication ensures that the editors draw from researchers worldwide in a diverse range of fields.
Topics covered include:
Renewable energy economics and policy
Renewable energy resource assessment
Solar energy: photovoltaics, solar thermal energy, solar energy for fuels
Wind energy: wind farms, rotors and blades, on- and offshore wind conditions, aerodynamics, fluid dynamics
Bioenergy: biofuels, biomass conversion, artificial photosynthesis
Distributed energy generation: rooftop PV, distributed fuel cells, distributed wind, micro-hydrogen power generation
Power distribution & systems modeling: power electronics and controls, smart grid
Energy efficient buildings: smart windows, PV, wind, power management
Energy conversion: flexoelectric, piezoelectric, thermoelectric, other technologies
Energy storage: batteries, supercapacitors, hydrogen storage, other fuels
Fuel cells: proton exchange membrane cells, solid oxide cells, hybrid fuel cells, other
Marine and hydroelectric energy: dams, tides, waves, other
Transportation: alternative vehicle technologies, plug-in technologies, other
Geothermal energy