美国住宅能源需求与气候变化的相互影响:小波分析

IF 5.4 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Environmental and Sustainability Indicators Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI:10.1016/j.indic.2024.100384
Faik Bilgili , Sevda Kuskaya , Cosimo Magazzino , Kamran Khan , Mohammad Enamul Hoque , Mohammed Alnour , Seyit Onderol
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究利用 1990 年 1 月至 2023 年 3 月的美国月度数据,采用小波分析方法研究了居民能源需求(包括电力、地热和太阳能)与气候变化之间复杂的时变关系。结果表明,居民能源需求与气候变化指标之间呈现出一种时变的相互关系,具有周期效应和滞后效应。具体而言,在 2021 年之前,居民用电需求与二氧化碳(CO2)排放量之间在短期频率上呈正相关关系,但此后这种关系发生了逆转,二氧化碳水平的上升影响并降低了居民用电需求。在长期频率中,居民用电量与二氧化碳排放量之间的联系随着时间的推移而变化,表现出不一致的共同运动。住宅地热与二氧化碳之间的共同作用主要表现为正相关,短期内二氧化碳主导着两者之间的关系,而长期内地热主导着两者之间的共同作用。在短期和长期频率中,住宅太阳能和二氧化碳之间的依赖性和共同运动性是混合的,住宅太阳能导致正相关,而二氧化碳导致负相关。因此,改善隔热性能、节能窗户和高效供暖系统都有助于减少热量损失和家庭供暖的总能源需求,从而降低二氧化碳排放量。
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The mutual effects of residential energy demand and climate change in the United States: A wavelet analysis

This study examines the complex and time-varying relationship between residential energy demand (including electricity, geothermal, and solar energy) and climate change using wavelet analyses with monthly USA data from January 1990 to March 2023. The results show that residential energy demand and climate change indicators exhibit a time-varying interrelationship with cyclical and lag effects. Specifically, before 2021, a positive correlation between residential electricity demand and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in short-term frequencies was found, but the relationship reversed thereafter, with an increase in CO2 levels influencing and decreasing residential electricity demand. In the long run frequencies, the link between residential power consumption and CO2 emissions shifted over time, exhibiting inconsistent co-movement. The co-movements between residential geothermal and CO2 show predominantly positive correlations, with CO2 leading the relationship in the short run, while geothermal leads the co-movements in the long run. In both short and long-term frequencies, the dependency and co-movement between residential solar and CO2 are mixed, with residential solar leading to positive correlations and CO2 leading to negative correlations. Therefore, improved insulation, energy-efficient windows, and high-efficiency heating systems can all assist in reducing heat loss and the total energy demand for domestic heating and subsequently low CO2 emissions.

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来源期刊
Environmental and Sustainability Indicators
Environmental and Sustainability Indicators Environmental Science-Environmental Science (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
7.80
自引率
2.30%
发文量
49
审稿时长
57 days
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