Unveiling the hypotheses of endemic richness: A study case in the Southwestern Alps

Areas where range-restricted species are concentrated are of importance for conservation. However, most of the studies aim at identifying areas rich in endemics for conservation planning, while few studies aim at understanding the causal factors of endemic richness. Here, our goal is to identify the determinants of endemic richness within a centre of endemism, the Southwestern European Alps, by testing four non-mutually exclusive hypotheses that have been proposed to explain patterns of endemic richness. In particular, we examined to what extent temporal and spatial climatic stability and environmental heterogeneity are related to endemic richness. Almost all hypotheses partially support the observed patterns of plant endemics richness within the SW Alps. In general, most of the relationships between environmental variables and endemic richness are statistically significant. However, the highest effect in explaining endemic richness is found for climate change velocity and standard deviation of slope, two factors affecting the possibility of species to disperse. This is in line with the idea that endemics are strongly limited by dispersal and not only by climate. Our results suggest that in regions where the effects of past climate changes were less dramatic endemic richness results from the interaction of species dispersal with regional and specific historical factors.