推进审前评估:开发个人自认面谈和需求筛查系统(PRINS)

IF 3.3 1区 社会学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Journal of Criminal Justice Pub Date : 2024-04-13 DOI:10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2024.102183
Zachary Hamilton, John Ursino, Alex Kigerl
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的在过去十年中,审前风险评估 (PRAs) 的应用范围不断扩大,用于减少拘留、保释/保释金和监狱。然而,许多 PRAs 都是针对特定人群创建的,在新的地点采用 "现成的 "工具,从而降低了工具的准确性和功能性。此外,许多 PRAs 是根据犯罪史指标创建的,增加了对预测偏差的担忧。本研究介绍了个人自首面谈& 需求筛查(PRINS)的开发过程。方法通过多阶段开发过程和大量被告样本(N = 28,147 ),我们创建了一个结合静态和动态指标、性别响应模型的工具,用于预测七种结果。此外,与弗吉尼亚州审前风险评估工具、俄亥俄州风险评估系统-审前评估工具和公共安全评估相比,我们发现 PRINS 的准确性更高,对高风险、女性和有色人种被告的准确性也大大提高。采用这些创新工具将提高准确性、减少偏差、获得更多支持,进而减少保释/取保候审和拘留的使用。
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Advancing pretrial assessments: Development of the Personal Recognizance Interview & Needs Screen (PRINS)

Purpose

Used to reduce detention, bail/bond, and jail, pretrial risk assessments (PRAs) applications have expanded in the last decade. Yet, many PRAs are created with a unique population, adopted ‘off-the-shelf’ in a new location, reducing the tool's accuracy and functionality. Further, many PRAs are created with criminal history indicators, increasing concerns of prediction bias. The current study described the development of the Personal Recognizance Interview & Needs Screen (PRINS).

Methods

Using a multistage development process and large sample (N = 28,147) of defendants, we created a tool that combines static and dynamic indicators, gender-responsive modeling, in the prediction of seven outcomes.

Results

Findings indicate exceptional accuracy of the PRINS, with relative prediction parity across gender and race/ethnicity sub-groups. Further, compared to the Virginia Pretrial Risk Assessment Instrument, Ohio Risk Assessment System – Pretrial Assessment Tool, and the Public Safety Assessment, we identify greater accuracy via the PRINS and substantial enhancements for higher risk, females, and defendants of color.

Conclusions

We demonstrate the advantages of developing PRAs with dynamic items and incorporating indicators important to judges and stakeholders, while using data gathered locally. Adopting tools with these innovations will improve accuracy, reduce bias, create greater buy-in and, in turn, reduce the use of bond/bail and detention.

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来源期刊
Journal of Criminal Justice
Journal of Criminal Justice CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY-
CiteScore
6.90
自引率
9.10%
发文量
93
审稿时长
23 days
期刊介绍: The Journal of Criminal Justice is an international journal intended to fill the present need for the dissemination of new information, ideas and methods, to both practitioners and academicians in the criminal justice area. The Journal is concerned with all aspects of the criminal justice system in terms of their relationships to each other. Although materials are presented relating to crime and the individual elements of the criminal justice system, the emphasis of the Journal is to tie together the functioning of these elements and to illustrate the effects of their interactions. Articles that reflect the application of new disciplines or analytical methodologies to the problems of criminal justice are of special interest. Since the purpose of the Journal is to provide a forum for the dissemination of new ideas, new information, and the application of new methods to the problems and functions of the criminal justice system, the Journal emphasizes innovation and creative thought of the highest quality.
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