Using the Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) Algorithm for Baseflow Separation and Determining the Trends for the Yesilirmak River (North Turkey)

Abstract

Estimation of baseflow is a complex hydrographic task. Baseflow techniques and coefficients vary from basin to basin, stream to stream, and year to year. In this study, meta-heuristic optimization is used to automatically identify baseflow. The Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), a meta-heuristic optimization approach, is chosen. The constraint and cost functions were determined using the PSO algorithm, Lyne and Hollick techniques, and a computer application. Over the period 1980–2015, the data were collected at the Kale station in the Yesilirmak River basin to validate the study model. The results show that the hydrographs and baseflow dividing line were separated effectively. It has also been revealed that the PSO has a high speed as well as a high level of precision. In the research, in addition to the baseflow separation, the hydrograph, baseflow, and ratio of the baseflow to the streamflow at the station No. 1402 were assessed using the Mann–Kendall test and Innovative Trend Test (ITA), and as a result, their trends have been found. By the use of both of these methods, it has been shown that all parameters have an unfavorable trend. In addition, the research came to some other significant conclusions, such as the fact that the baseflow declines in tandem with the flow values and that the baseflow rates are low in years with high peak values of the hydrograph.