美国是否面临木材短缺?

IF 1.8 3区 农林科学 Q2 FORESTRY Journal of Forestry Pub Date : 2024-04-10 DOI:10.1093/jof/76.5.276
Dwight Hair
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引用次数: 0

摘要

最近的研究表明,未来几十年,国内森林对木材的需求可能会迅速增长。而另一方面,如果继续像以前那样管理森林,供应量的增长将相当缓慢。一些人认为,这些预测以及两者之间不断扩大的差距表明存在实际短缺。然而,在自由市场经济中,不会出现短缺。价格会上涨,直到供求平衡。相对价格的上涨将限制木材行业的扩张潜力。相对价格上涨还意味着消费者的成本增加,对进口的依赖性增加,与扩大使用替代品有关的环境成本增加,以及不可再生资源的使用速度加快。
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Does the U.S. Face a Shortfall of Timber?
Recent studies show that the demands for timber from domestic forests are likely to grow rapidly in the decades ahead. Supplies, on the other hand, will increase rather slowly if forests continue to be managed much as they have been. These projections and the widening gap between them have been viewed by some in terms of a physical shortfall. In a free market economy, however, there will not be a shortfall. Prices will rise until there is an equilibrium between demands and supplies. Rising relative prices will limit the expansion potential of the timber industries. They will also mean higher costs to consumers, increased dependence on imports, greater environmental costs associated with expanding use of substitutes, and acceleration in the rate of use of nonrenewable resource.
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来源期刊
Journal of Forestry
Journal of Forestry 农林科学-林学
CiteScore
4.90
自引率
8.70%
发文量
45
审稿时长
>24 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal of Forestry is the most widely circulated scholarly forestry journal in the world. In print since 1902, the mission of the Journal of Forestry is to advance the profession of forestry by keeping forest management professionals informed about significant developments and ideas in the many facets of forestry. The Journal is published bimonthly: January, March, May, July, September, and November.
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