通货膨胀--谁在乎?低关注度时期的货币政策

IF 1.2 3区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE Journal of Money Credit and Banking Pub Date : 2024-03-25 DOI:10.1111/jmcb.13145
OLIVER PFÄUTI
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我提出了一种量化通胀关注度的方法,并表明关注度在大通胀时期之后有所下降。这种关注度的下降对货币政策具有重要影响,因为它使管理通胀预期变得更加困难,并可能导致通胀-关注度陷阱:由于通胀预期调整缓慢,导致约束性下限和低通胀的时间延长。随着关注度的下降,最佳对策是提高通胀目标。下限从根本上改变了注意力下降的规范意义:在没有下限约束的情况下,注意力下降会提高福利,而在考虑下限约束的情况下,注意力下降会降低福利。
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Inflation—Who Cares? Monetary Policy in Times of Low Attention
I propose an approach to quantify attention to inflation and show that attention declined after the Great Inflation period. This decline in attention has important implications for monetary policy as it renders managing inflation expectations more difficult and can lead to inflation‐attention traps: prolonged periods of a binding lower bound and low inflation due to slowly adjusting inflation expectations. As attention declines, the optimal policy response is to increase the inflation target. The lower bound fundamentally changes the normative implications of declining attention: lower attention raises welfare absent the lower‐bound constraint, whereas it decreases welfare when accounting for the lower bound.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.90
自引率
6.70%
发文量
98
期刊最新文献
Issue Information Issue Information Measuring the Impact of Unconventional Monetary Policies on the U.S. Banking and Bond Markets at the Lower Bound Market Regulation, Cycles, and Growth Dynamics in a Monetary Union Exchange Rates and Prices in the Netherlands and Britain over the Past Four Centuries
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