Holly A. Miller, Elisa L. Toman, Kaitlyn M. Pederson
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引用次数: 0
摘要
虽然大多数风险评估研究都是对预测累犯的工具进行研究,但也有越来越多的文献对预测社区监管成功的风险评估进行了研究。得克萨斯州风险评估系统--社区监管工具(TRAS-CST)是根据俄亥俄州风险评估系统--社区监管工具(ORAS-CST)开发的,但尚未对其预测累犯或缓刑遵守情况进行研究。本研究调查了 TRAS 筛选器和完整版的预测有效性,对 462 名缓刑样本中的监管合规性和累犯进行了研究。研究结果表明,使用 TRAS 筛选器版本和 TRAS-CST 版本的各领域,对监管期间因违反规则而入狱和新犯罪的预测有效性是有效的,尽管效应大小很小到中等。研究结果还表明,全套 TRAS 系统的领域得分可以为监管社区监管人员的官员提供重要的干预重点。
Examining the Utility of the Texas Risk Assessment System to Predict Community Supervision Compliance and Recidivism
Although most risk assessment research has examined tools in the prediction of recidivism, there is a growing body of literature that investigates risk assessment in the prediction of successful community supervision. The Texas Risk Assessment System–Community Supervision Tool (TRAS-CST) was developed from the Ohio Risk Assessment System–Community Supervision Tool (ORAS-CST) but has not been examined to predict recidivism or probation compliance. The current study investigates the predictive validity of the TRAS screener and full versions when examining supervision compliance and recidivism among a sample of 462 individuals on probation. Findings support predictive validity of incarceration due to rule violations and new offenses during supervision using the TRAS versions, along with the domains of the TRAS-CST version, although the effect sizes were small to moderate. Results also indicate that the domain scores on the full TRAS may provide important intervention focus for officers supervising individuals on community supervision.
期刊介绍:
Criminal Justice and Behavior publishes articles examining psychological and behavioral aspects of the juvenile and criminal justice systems. The concepts "criminal justice" and "behavior" should be interpreted broadly to include analyses of etiology of delinquent or criminal behavior, the process of law violation, victimology, offender classification and treatment, deterrence, and incapacitation.