Elkyn Lugo-Arias , José Lugo-Arias , Sandra Bibiana Vargas , Mario Alberto de la Puente Pacheco , Ivonn Borre Granados , Carlos Barraza Heras , Daniel Triana Hernández
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Determinants of the competitiveness of world palm oil exports: A cointegration analysis
The purpose of this research is to determine the impact of international palm oil prices, prices of its substitute and complementary goods, and the exchange rate on the competitiveness of 30 palm oil exporting countries over the period from 2011 to 2019, using monthly data. The symmetric comparative advantage index was estimated, and a convergence effect was found, whereby emerging countries exhibited greater specialization than industrialized countries. Unit root and cointegration tests were applied, in addition to FMOLS and DOLS methods. The analysis revealed that decreases in palm and vegetable oil prices, coupled with an increase in the exchange rate and prices of soybeans and biodiesel, enhanced the competitiveness of palm oil exports.
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