基于统一蒙特卡洛-B 方法评估 48Ti 的中子截面

Houqiong Xia, Ruirui Xu, Ping Liu, Roberto Capote, Yuan Tian, Xi Tao, Xiao-fei Wu, Yue Zhang, Zhigang Ge, Nengchuan Shu, Song Feng
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摘要

使用统一蒙特卡罗-B(UMC-B)方法对 48Ti 上的中子诱发反应进行了截面评估。评估的重点是估计协方差,使用 UMC-B 可以避免传统最小二乘法带来的线性回归缺陷。这项工作研究了 n+48Ti 在 20 MeV 以下快中子能量区的八个主要中子和带电粒子发射反应。采用 UMC-B 贝叶斯方法,通过卷积基于模型参数和实验数据的似然函数采样的模型后验概率密度函数(PDF)来获得每个中子截面的后验概率密度函数。在假定正态分布的情况下,对包括水平密度、线对修正、光学模型和卡尔巴赫矩阵元素参数在内的 19 个模型参数进行随机抽样,以估计模型的不确定性。采用 Cholesky 因子化方法来考虑潜在的参数相关性。最后,利用 UMC-B 生成的权重生成后验协方差矩阵。新的评估结果与 CENDL-3.2、ENDF/B-VIII.0、JEFF-3.3、TENDL-2021 和 JENDL-5 评估结果进行了比较,并讨论了两者之间的差异。
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Evaluation of Neutron Cross Sections of 48Ti based on the Unified-Monte-Carlo-B Method
A cross section evaluation of neutron induced reactions on 48Ti is undertaken using the Unified Monte Carlo-B (UMC-B) approach. The evaluation focus on estimating the covarainces and the use of the UMC-B allows avoiding the deficiencies of linear regression brought by the traditional least squares method. Eight main neutron and charged particle emission reactions from n+48Ti in the fast neutron energy region below 20 MeV are studied in this work. The posterior probability density function (PDF) of each neutron cross section is obtained in a UMC-B Bayesian approach by convoluting the model PDFs sampled based on model parameters and the likelihood functions for the experimental data. Nineteen model parameters including level density, pair corrections, optical model and Kalbach matrix element parameter are stochastically sampled with the assumption of normal distributions to estimate the model uncertainty. The Cholesky factorization approach is applied to consider potential parameter correlations. Finally, the posterior covariance matrices are generated using the UMC-B generated weights. The new evaluated results are compared with the CENDL-3.2, ENDF/B-VIII.0, JEFF-3.3, TENDL-2021 and JENDL-5 evaluations and differences are discussed.
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