利用均值-VaR 风险容忍度模型优化基础设施类股票的投资组合

Arla Aglia Yasmin, Riaman Riaman, Sukono Sukono
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摘要

基础设施在经济发展和实现可持续发展目标(SDGs)中发挥着至关重要的作用,而投资则是支持经济发展和实现可持续发展目标的一项关键活动。投资涉及资产配置,期望在获得利润的同时将风险降至最低,因此选择最佳投资组合对投资者至关重要。因此,本研究旨在利用 Mean-VaR 模型确定基础设施股票的最优投资组合。通过投资组合分析,本研究主要解决两个问题:确定每种基础设施股票的最优配置,以及在风险最小化和收益最大化的同时制定最优股票投资组合。本研究采用的方法是 Mean-VaR 方法,该方法结合了风险价值(VaR)在风险衡量方面的优势,并考虑了收益预期。研究结果表明,八种基础设施股票符合组成最优投资组合的标准。各股票在最优投资组合中所占比例如下ISAT(2.74%)、TLKM(33.894%)、JSMR(3.343%)、BALI(0.102%)、IPCC(5.044%)、KEEN(14.792%)、PTPW(25.863%)和 AKRA(14.219%)。本研究的结果可作为更好的投资决策的基础。
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Investment Portfolio Optimization In Infrastructure Stocks Using The Mean-VaR Risk Tolerance Model
Infrastructure a crucial role in economic development and the achievement of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), with investment being a key activity supporting this. Investment involves the allocation of assets with the expectation of gaining profit with minimal risk, making the selection of optimal investment portfolios crucial for investors. Therefore, the aim of this research is to identify the optimal portfolio in infrastructure stocks using the Mean-VaR model. Through portfolio analysis, this study addresses two main issues: determining the optimal allocation for each infrastructure stock and formulating an optimal stock investment portfolio while minimizing risk and maximizing return. The methodology employed in this research is the Mean-VaR approach, which combines the advantages of Value at Risk (VaR) in risk measurement with consideration of return expectations. The findings indicate that eight infrastructure stocks meet the criteria for forming an optimal portfolio. The proportion of each stock in the optimal portfolio is as follows: ISAT (2.74%), TLKM (33.894%), JSMR (3.343%), BALI (0.102%), IPCC (5.044%), KEEN (14.792%), PTPW (25.863%), and AKRA (14.219%). The results of this study can serve as a foundation for better investment decision-making.
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