Han-sang Baek, J. Ha, Kwang-Seog Kim, J. Bae, J. Kim, Sungju Kim, D. Lim, Chul-Min Kim
{"title":"通过超声波检查早期发现分化型甲状腺癌的成本效益分析:一项针对韩国人群的回顾性研究","authors":"Han-sang Baek, J. Ha, Kwang-Seog Kim, J. Bae, J. Kim, Sungju Kim, D. Lim, Chul-Min Kim","doi":"10.3803/EnM.2023.1870","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Background\nThere is debate about ultrasonography screening for thyroid cancer and its cost-effectiveness. This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of early screening (ES) versus symptomatic detection (SD) for differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) in Korea.\n\n\nMethods\nA Markov decision analysis model was constructed to compare the cost-effectiveness of ES and SD. The model considered direct medical costs, health outcomes, and different diagnostic and treatment pathways. Input data were derived from literature and Korean population studies. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was calculated. Willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold was set at USD 100,000 or 20,000 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to address uncertainties of the model's variables.\n\n\nResults\nIn a base case scenario with 50 years of follow-up, ES was found to be cost-effective compared to SD, with an ICER of $2,852 per QALY. With WTP set at $100,000, in the case with follow-up less than 10 years, the SD was cost-effective. Sensitivity analysis showed that variables such as lobectomy probability, age, mortality, and utility scores significantly influenced the ICER. Despite variations in costs and other factors, all ICER values remained below the WTP threshold.\n\n\nConclusion\nFindings of this study indicate that ES is a cost-effective strategy for DTC screening in the Korean medical system. Early detection and subsequent lobectomy contribute to the cost-effectiveness of ES, while SD at an advanced stage makes ES more cost-effective. Expected follow-up duration should be considered to determine an optimal strategy for DTC screening.","PeriodicalId":11636,"journal":{"name":"Endocrinology and Metabolism","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.9000,"publicationDate":"2024-04-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Cost-Utility Analysis of Early Detection with Ultrasonography of Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: A Retrospective Study on a Korean Population.\",\"authors\":\"Han-sang Baek, J. Ha, Kwang-Seog Kim, J. Bae, J. Kim, Sungju Kim, D. Lim, Chul-Min Kim\",\"doi\":\"10.3803/EnM.2023.1870\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Background\\nThere is debate about ultrasonography screening for thyroid cancer and its cost-effectiveness. This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of early screening (ES) versus symptomatic detection (SD) for differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) in Korea.\\n\\n\\nMethods\\nA Markov decision analysis model was constructed to compare the cost-effectiveness of ES and SD. The model considered direct medical costs, health outcomes, and different diagnostic and treatment pathways. Input data were derived from literature and Korean population studies. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was calculated. Willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold was set at USD 100,000 or 20,000 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to address uncertainties of the model's variables.\\n\\n\\nResults\\nIn a base case scenario with 50 years of follow-up, ES was found to be cost-effective compared to SD, with an ICER of $2,852 per QALY. With WTP set at $100,000, in the case with follow-up less than 10 years, the SD was cost-effective. Sensitivity analysis showed that variables such as lobectomy probability, age, mortality, and utility scores significantly influenced the ICER. Despite variations in costs and other factors, all ICER values remained below the WTP threshold.\\n\\n\\nConclusion\\nFindings of this study indicate that ES is a cost-effective strategy for DTC screening in the Korean medical system. Early detection and subsequent lobectomy contribute to the cost-effectiveness of ES, while SD at an advanced stage makes ES more cost-effective. 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Cost-Utility Analysis of Early Detection with Ultrasonography of Differentiated Thyroid Cancer: A Retrospective Study on a Korean Population.
Background
There is debate about ultrasonography screening for thyroid cancer and its cost-effectiveness. This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of early screening (ES) versus symptomatic detection (SD) for differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) in Korea.
Methods
A Markov decision analysis model was constructed to compare the cost-effectiveness of ES and SD. The model considered direct medical costs, health outcomes, and different diagnostic and treatment pathways. Input data were derived from literature and Korean population studies. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was calculated. Willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold was set at USD 100,000 or 20,000 per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to address uncertainties of the model's variables.
Results
In a base case scenario with 50 years of follow-up, ES was found to be cost-effective compared to SD, with an ICER of $2,852 per QALY. With WTP set at $100,000, in the case with follow-up less than 10 years, the SD was cost-effective. Sensitivity analysis showed that variables such as lobectomy probability, age, mortality, and utility scores significantly influenced the ICER. Despite variations in costs and other factors, all ICER values remained below the WTP threshold.
Conclusion
Findings of this study indicate that ES is a cost-effective strategy for DTC screening in the Korean medical system. Early detection and subsequent lobectomy contribute to the cost-effectiveness of ES, while SD at an advanced stage makes ES more cost-effective. Expected follow-up duration should be considered to determine an optimal strategy for DTC screening.
期刊介绍:
The aim of this journal is to set high standards of medical care by providing a forum for discussion for basic, clinical, and translational researchers and clinicians on new findings in the fields of endocrinology and metabolism. Endocrinology and Metabolism reports new findings and developments in all aspects of endocrinology and metabolism. The topics covered by this journal include bone and mineral metabolism, cytokines, developmental endocrinology, diagnostic endocrinology, endocrine research, dyslipidemia, endocrine regulation, genetic endocrinology, growth factors, hormone receptors, hormone action and regulation, management of endocrine diseases, clinical trials, epidemiology, molecular endocrinology, neuroendocrinology, neuropeptides, neurotransmitters, obesity, pediatric endocrinology, reproductive endocrinology, signal transduction, the anatomy and physiology of endocrine organs (i.e., the pituitary, thyroid, parathyroid, and adrenal glands, and the gonads), and endocrine diseases (diabetes, nutrition, osteoporosis, etc.).