胶合板干燥的预测建模和优化:人工神经网络方法

Darío Guamán-Lozada, María José Tobar Heredia, Mayra Zambrano Vinueza, Roister Alexis Pesantes Ortiz, Marlon Moscoso Martínez, Paul Marcelo Manobanda Pinto
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究通过开发输出含水率(MC_Out)和波浪度的预测模型,对胶合板干燥过程进行了优化。研究采用了综合实验设计,分析了三种木材类型(Doncel、Tamburo 和 Zapote)、两种厚度水平和三种干燥速度对 MC_Out 和波度的影响。对收集到的数据进行了传统的统计分析和 ANNs 分析。统计模型显示,木材类型、厚度和干燥速度对 MC_Out 和波度有显著影响,分别解释了 95.9% 和 84.3% 的变化。然而,优化后的人工神经网络模型表现出更高的准确性,MC_Out 模型在训练集和验证集上的拟合 R 平方值分别为 0.940 和 0.757,因此在预测干燥结果方面优于传统模型。通过遗传算法对人工神经网络结构的成功优化,进一步凸显了机器学习方法在工业应用中的潜力,为预测干燥过程结果提供了更精确、更可靠的方法。这种方法不仅提高了对 MC_Out 和波浪度等关键变量的预测精度,还为更高效、更可控的干燥操作铺平了道路,最终有助于生产出更高质量的胶合板。
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Predictive Modeling and Optimization of Plywood Drying: An Artificial Neural Network Approach
This investigation delves into the optimization of the plywood drying process through the development of predictive models for output moisture content (MC_Out) and waviness. It focuses on bridging the gap in current methodologies by employing artificial neural networks (ANNs), optimized with genetic algorithms, to enhance prediction accuracy and process efficiency. A comprehensive experimental design was employed, analyzing the effects of three wood types (Doncel, Tamburo, and Zapote), two thickness levels, and three drying speeds on MC_Out and waviness. Data collected were subjected to both traditional statistical analysis and ANNs. The ANNs were fine-tuned through genetic algorithms, exploring different network architectures to achieve optimal predictive performance. Statistical models revealed the significant influence of wood type, thickness, and drying speed on MC_Out and waviness, explaining 95.9% and 84.3% of the variations, respectively. The optimized ANN models, however, demonstrated superior accuracy, with the MC_Out model achieving fitted R-squared values of 0.940 and 0.757 for training and validation sets, respectively, thus outperforming traditional models in predicting drying outcomes. The study underscores the effectiveness of ANNs in capturing complex nonlinear relationships within the plywood drying data, which traditional statistical models might not fully elucidate. The successful optimization of ANN architecture via genetic algorithms further highlights the potential of machine learning approaches in industrial applications, offering a more precise and reliable method for predicting drying process outcomes. The integration of artificial neural networks, optimized through genetic algorithms, represents a significant advancement in the predictive modeling of plywood drying processes. This approach not only offers enhanced prediction accuracy for key variables such as MC_Out and waviness but also paves the way for more efficient and controlled drying operations, ultimately contributing to the production of higher-quality plywood.
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