气候政策的不确定性、媒体对气候变化的报道以及能源市场:时变因果分析的新证据

IF 5.8 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Energy and climate change Pub Date : 2024-04-22 DOI:10.1016/j.egycc.2024.100134
Ecenur Uğurlu-Yıldırım , Özge Dinç-Cavlak
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候变化是近十年来最关键的问题之一,因此研究气候变化风险对经济的影响至关重要。我们采用一种新颖的时变格兰杰因果关系方法,检验了 2009 年 11 月至 2021 年 12 月期间气候政策不确定性(CPU)与清洁能源和不可再生能源行业指数收益之间的因果关系。我们的分析普遍显示,在整个样本期间,气候政策不确定性与 S&P 清洁能源行业指数收益率之间存在显著的因果关系。与此相反,从中央处理器到 S&P 不可再生能源指数收益率之间的因果关系非常有限。这一结果表明,由于在不确定环境下逆转决策的成本,清洁能源企业的投资受到中央政策组的影响。另一方面,美国报纸媒体对气候变化的报道不仅对清洁能源指数收益率有显著影响,而且对不可再生能源指数收益率也有显著影响,这意味着媒体对气候变化报道的增加会影响投资者对气候变化的认识,从而影响其交易策略。
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Climate policy uncertainty, media coverage of climate change, and energy markets: New evidence from time-varying causality analysis

Climate change is one of the most critical issues in the last decade, making investigating climate change risks' effects on the economy vital. Employing a novel time-varying Granger causality approach, we test causality from climate policy uncertainty (CPU) to the index returns of clean energy and nonrenewable energy sectors between November 2009 and December 2021. Our analysis generally reveals a significant causality from CPU to S&P clean energy sector index return throughout the sample period. In contrast, very limited significant causality is observed running from the CPU to the S&P nonrenewable energy index return. This result implies that investments in clean energy firms are affected by the CPU due to the cost of reversing the decisions in uncertain environments. On the other hand, the U.S. newspaper media coverage of climate change has a significant impact not only on the clean energy index returns but also on non-renewable energy index returns, implying an increase in the media coverage regarding climate change influences the awareness of investors on climate change, which affects their trading strategies.

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来源期刊
Energy and climate change
Energy and climate change Global and Planetary Change, Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment, Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
CiteScore
7.90
自引率
0.00%
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0
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