{"title":"崩盘风险与保守主义:伊斯坦布尔证券交易所的证据","authors":"Tuba Toksoz","doi":"10.1016/j.bir.2024.04.010","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study assesses the relationship between the likelihood of future stock price crashes and conservatism—an accounting characteristic that leads to the undervaluation of accounting net assets relative to economic net assets. This undervaluation is achieved by less stringent verification criteria in acknowledging losses compared with gains, resulting in more timely recognition of economic losses. Utilizing a sample of firms traded on Borsa Istanbul from 2009 to 2019, this study reveals that firms with a greater degree of conservatism witness a significant reduction in crash risk after accounting for firm-specific determinants of crash risk along with firm and year fixed effects. This result corroborates the findings in the literature on conservatism, revealing that conservatism diminishes the ability of managers to withhold unfavorable information. In addition, the results are economically meaningful and hold after a set of tests to assess robustness. The findings are particularly relevant for underperforming firms, indicating that an increase in adverse information enhances the motivation for firms to obscure and delay sharing the information. Further analysis demonstrates that accounting conservatism offers advantages by mitigating future crash risk, especially for firms with high intangible intensity.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":46690,"journal":{"name":"Borsa Istanbul Review","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.3000,"publicationDate":"2024-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214845024000735/pdfft?md5=f7c03d84adf336981f8497812f367ee0&pid=1-s2.0-S2214845024000735-main.pdf","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Crash risk and conservatism: Evidence from Borsa Istanbul\",\"authors\":\"Tuba Toksoz\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.bir.2024.04.010\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>This study assesses the relationship between the likelihood of future stock price crashes and conservatism—an accounting characteristic that leads to the undervaluation of accounting net assets relative to economic net assets. This undervaluation is achieved by less stringent verification criteria in acknowledging losses compared with gains, resulting in more timely recognition of economic losses. Utilizing a sample of firms traded on Borsa Istanbul from 2009 to 2019, this study reveals that firms with a greater degree of conservatism witness a significant reduction in crash risk after accounting for firm-specific determinants of crash risk along with firm and year fixed effects. This result corroborates the findings in the literature on conservatism, revealing that conservatism diminishes the ability of managers to withhold unfavorable information. In addition, the results are economically meaningful and hold after a set of tests to assess robustness. The findings are particularly relevant for underperforming firms, indicating that an increase in adverse information enhances the motivation for firms to obscure and delay sharing the information. Further analysis demonstrates that accounting conservatism offers advantages by mitigating future crash risk, especially for firms with high intangible intensity.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":46690,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Borsa Istanbul Review\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":6.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-07-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214845024000735/pdfft?md5=f7c03d84adf336981f8497812f367ee0&pid=1-s2.0-S2214845024000735-main.pdf\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Borsa Istanbul Review\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214845024000735\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Borsa Istanbul Review","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214845024000735","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Crash risk and conservatism: Evidence from Borsa Istanbul
This study assesses the relationship between the likelihood of future stock price crashes and conservatism—an accounting characteristic that leads to the undervaluation of accounting net assets relative to economic net assets. This undervaluation is achieved by less stringent verification criteria in acknowledging losses compared with gains, resulting in more timely recognition of economic losses. Utilizing a sample of firms traded on Borsa Istanbul from 2009 to 2019, this study reveals that firms with a greater degree of conservatism witness a significant reduction in crash risk after accounting for firm-specific determinants of crash risk along with firm and year fixed effects. This result corroborates the findings in the literature on conservatism, revealing that conservatism diminishes the ability of managers to withhold unfavorable information. In addition, the results are economically meaningful and hold after a set of tests to assess robustness. The findings are particularly relevant for underperforming firms, indicating that an increase in adverse information enhances the motivation for firms to obscure and delay sharing the information. Further analysis demonstrates that accounting conservatism offers advantages by mitigating future crash risk, especially for firms with high intangible intensity.
期刊介绍:
Peer Review under the responsibility of Borsa İstanbul Anonim Sirketi. Borsa İstanbul Review provides a scholarly platform for empirical financial studies including but not limited to financial markets and institutions, financial economics, investor behavior, financial centers and market structures, corporate finance, recent economic and financial trends. Micro and macro data applications and comparative studies are welcome. Country coverage includes advanced, emerging and developing economies. In particular, we would like to publish empirical papers with significant policy implications and encourage submissions in the following areas: Research Topics: • Investments and Portfolio Management • Behavioral Finance • Financial Markets and Institutions • Market Microstructure • Islamic Finance • Financial Risk Management • Valuation • Capital Markets Governance • Financial Regulations