合理化能否改善整个经济体的福利?发达国家区域渔业的一般均衡分析

Chang K. Seung, Do-Hoon Kim, Ju-Hyun Yi
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摘要

本研究使用生物经济区域可计算一般均衡(CGE)模型,评估韩国某地区(釜山)的鲭鱼渔业从受管制的开放式准入过渡到合理化对该次国家区域的经济和福利影响。基线模拟的结果表明,渔业资源租金增加,但由于生产要素外迁,该地区的总福利和人均福利可能恶化。然而,敏感性分析表明,总体和人均福利变化的符号和大小取决于以下因素:(i) 区域要素流动性;(ii) 初始生物量水平与承载能力的比率;(iii) 合理化引起的捕捞效率提高的幅度。
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Does Rationalization Improve Economy-Wide Welfare? A General Equilibrium Analysis of a Regional Fishery in a Developed Country

This study uses a bioeconomic regional computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to assess the economic and welfare effects on a sub-national region of transitioning from regulated open access to rationalization for a mackerel fishery in a region (Busan), Korea. Results from the baseline simulation demonstrate that the resource rent from the fishery increases, but that the aggregate and per capita welfares in the region can deteriorate due to an out-migration of the factors of production. However, sensitivity analyses reveal that the sign and size of the aggregate and per capita welfare changes depend on, among other things, (i) regional factor mobility, (ii) the ratio of the initial level of biomass to the carrying capacity, and (iii) the magnitude of the rationalization-induced enhancement in the fishing efficiency.

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