估算非洲小农养牛系统摄入量和肠道甲烷排放系数的第 1 级和第 2 级方法比较:埃塞俄比亚的案例研究

E.B. Gurmu , P.W. Ndung'u , A. Wilkes , D. Getahun , M.W. Graham , S.M. Leitner , S. Marquardt , D.G. Mulat , L. Merbold , T. Worku , J.G. Kagai , C. Arndt
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引用次数: 0

摘要

考虑到畜牧业生产对环境的潜在影响以及准确估算方法的重要性,评估各种方法之间的差异至关重要。这项研究比较了基于三种方法的牛的总能量摄入量 (GEI) 和肠道甲烷 (CH4) 排放系数(EF = 千克 CH4/头/年):政府间气候变化专门委员会 (IPCC) 第 1 级、IPCC 第 2 级和基于英联邦科学与工业研究组织 (CSIRO) 第 2 级的修正第 2 级方法。数据收集自埃塞俄比亚北谢瓦高地亚湿润至半湿润区(AEZ-1)和低地亚湿润至半湿润区(AEZ-2)的小农作物-牲畜混合系统,时间分别为春季、夏季和冬季的开始和结束。结果表明,与 "CSIRO "第 2 级方法相比,IPCC 第 2 级方法估算出的 GEI(104 兆焦耳/头/天 vs 74 兆焦耳/头/天)高出 39%,隐含 EF(50 千克 CH4 vs 33 千克 CH4/头/年)高出 51%。与 IPCC 第 1 级默认值相比,IPCC 和 "CSIRO "第 2 级 EF 估计值分别低 20%-37% 和 37-59%。此外,所有牛类在不同季节的隐含甲烷日产量都有变化。由于所有 GEI 都是估算出来的,因此无法确定哪种方法更准确。因此,未来的研究应将预测的摄入量和排放量与实际实验数据进行比较,以确定模型的准确性。
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Comparison of Tier 1 and 2 methodologies for estimating intake and enteric methane emission factors from smallholder cattle systems in Africa: a case study from Ethiopia

Considering the potential environmental impact of livestock production and the significance of accurate estimation methods, it is crucial to assess the differences between various methodologies. The study compared the gross energy intake (GEI) and enteric methane (CH4) emission factors (EF = kg CH4/head/year) of cattle based on three methodologies: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Tier 1, IPCC Tier 2 and a modified Tier 2 methodology based on Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization (‘CSIRO’) Tier 2. Data were collected from smallholder mixed crop-livestock systems in the upper highland sub-humid to semi-humid (AEZ-1) and lower highland sub-humid to semi-humid (AEZ-2) zones of North Shewa, Ethiopia, corresponding to the beginning and end of spring, summer, and winter. The results revealed that the IPCC Tier 2 methodology estimated a 39% higher GEI (104 vs 74 MJ/ head/day) and a 51% higher implied EF (50 vs 33 kg CH4 /head/year) compared to the ‘CSIRO’ Tier 2 methodology. When compared to the IPCC Tier 1 default values, both the IPCC and ‘CSIRO’ Tier 2 EF estimates were 20–37% and 37–59% lower, respectively. Furthermore, all cattle categories exhibited variations in implied daily CH4 production across seasons. As all the GEI were estimated, it is not possible to determine which methodology is more accurate. Therefore, future research should compare predicted intakes and emissions with actual experimental data to ascertain the accuracy of the models.

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