国家能力与工业发展:伊朗和埃及比较研究(1990-2010 年)

Pub Date : 2024-05-03 DOI:10.1177/23477989241243190
Kamran Rabiei, Arman Mortazavi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

尽管通过发展工业来解决各种社会经济和社会政治问题,如伊朗急需重建战争造成的破坏、埃及的外债危机以及两国的人口增长,但统计数据显示,进展甚微。国内生产总值(GDP)增长率、商品和服务出口占 GDP 的百分比以及外国直接投资率是衡量工业产出的可靠指标,这些图表显示,在审查所涉期间,两国的经济增长率都出现了多次波动和不稳定。由于未能实现经济多样化,伊朗和埃及在这一时期结束时仍然严重依赖非生产性租金,其中大部分来自油气出口。尽管国家领导层将工业发展提上了议事日程,但为什么会出现这种情况呢?本文通过研究国家能力来探讨这一问题,重点关注国家权力的内部凝聚力及其与社会的关系。在此过程中,采用了比较历史分析法和因果叙述法。
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State Capacity and Industrial Development: A Comparative Study of Iran and Egypt (1990–2010)
Despite pursuing industrial development to solve various socioeconomic and sociopolitical issues, such as the urgent need to reconstruct war damages in Iran, the foreign debt crisis in Egypt, and population growth in both countries, statistical data show only slight progress. The graphs of the gross domestic product (GDP) growth and exports of goods and services as a percentage of GDP, which are reliable indexes for measuring industrial output, along with the rate of foreign direct investment, demonstrate numerous fluctuations and instability in the economic growth rate for both cases under the period under review. Failing to diversify the economy, Iran and Egypt still relied heavily on unproductive rents, mostly from hydrocarbon exports, at the end of this era. Why is this the case despite the national leadership putting industrial development on the agenda? This article addresses this question by examining state capacity, focusing on the internal cohesion of state authority and its relation to society. In so doing, comparative historical analysis and causal narrative method are used.
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