别怪我!权力分享时政治家的问责制和选举对策

IF 16.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Accounts of Chemical Research Pub Date : 2024-04-30 DOI:10.1111/ecpo.12286
Iacopo Monterosa
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文探讨了政治家是否会对其无法控制的事件做出反应以避免政治责任,以及选民是否会让政治家对其职务之外的职能负责。我将重点放在市长和选民对意大利中央政府实施的农田税的反应上。我调查了受新政策影响的城市是如何适应新政策的,并研究了在征税的城镇中,现任市长所属政党的当选几率是否会受到影响。在实施税收的市镇,市长们会增加支出。平均支出增加了 1.38 欧元(增幅约为 1%),其资金来源是增加借贷,人均借贷平均增加了 0.64 欧元。选民似乎不会因为国家政府决定的政策而惩罚地方执政者。有两个因素可能抵消了选举的影响。第一个因素是,在那些有现任者参加投票的市镇,选民的支出会更多。第二个因素是媒体对政策的报道实事求是,没有对当地现任者产生偏见。总之,这些研究结果表明,政治家对完全不在他们掌控之中的政策做出反应,可能是为了避免选举惩罚。
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Don't blame me! Politicians' accountability and electoral response when powers are shared

This paper examines if politicians react to events they cannot control to avoid political blame and if voters hold politicians accountable for functions beyond their office. I focus on the response of mayors and voters to a farmland tax implemented by the Italian central government. I investigate how the municipalities affected by the new policy adjust to it and study if the election odds of the incumbent mayor's party in towns subject to the tax are affected. Mayors increase spending in municipalities where the tax is implemented. Average spending grows by 1.38 euro (about a 1% increase) and it is financed by increased borrowing which expands by 0.64 euro per capita, on average. Voters do not seem to punish the local incumbent for a policy decided by the national government. Two factors may have contributed to offsetting the electoral impact. The first is greater spending in those municipalities where the incumbent is on the ballot. The second is a media account of the policy which was factual and not biased against the local incumbent. Overall, these findings suggest politicians react to policies that are fully out of their hands, potentially to avoid electoral punishment.

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来源期刊
Accounts of Chemical Research
Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合
CiteScore
31.40
自引率
1.10%
发文量
312
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.
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