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Data Elements Marketization and Corporate ESG Performance: A Quasi-Natural Experiment Based on China's Data Trading Platforms Pilot Policies 数据要素市场化与企业ESG绩效:基于中国数据交易平台试点政策的准自然实验
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-12-04 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.70023
Caishi Zhang, Fangyi Lin, Yichuan Shi

This article investigates the impact of Data Element Marketization (DEM) on corporate Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) performance, using a quasi-natural experiment based on China's data trading platforms pilot policies. Employing a Difference-in-Differences (DID) framework, we find that DEM significantly enhances ESG outcomes by alleviating financing constraints, promoting digital transformation, and strengthening external supervision. Our results highlight that firms with higher intangible asset intensity and those located in more marketized regions experience stronger improvements in ESG performance. Additionally, DEM also helps mitigate greenwashing behaviors. This study contributes to the understanding how market mechanisms for data circulation can drive corporate sustainability and offers policy implications for advancing DEM reforms.

本文采用基于中国数据交易平台试点政策的准自然实验,研究了数据要素市场化(DEM)对企业环境、社会和治理(ESG)绩效的影响。采用差异中的差异(DID)框架,我们发现DEM通过缓解融资约束、促进数字化转型和加强外部监督,显著提高了ESG成果。我们的研究结果表明,无形资产密集度较高的公司和位于更市场化地区的公司在ESG绩效方面的改善更强。此外,DEM还有助于减少“漂绿”行为。本研究有助于理解数据流通的市场机制如何推动企业可持续发展,并为推进DEM改革提供政策启示。
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引用次数: 0
Economic Policy Uncertainty and Crime: An Asymmetric Relationship 经济政策不确定性与犯罪:一种不对称关系
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-21 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.70022
Leo M. Doerr, Stefan Wilhelm

Using a sample of US counties for the period 2010–2018, this study is the first to isolate the effect of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on crime rates. We employ an estimator that controls for joint endogeneity of regressors and find a crime inducing effect of rising uncertainty for violent crime. Complementary analyses reveal that this relationship is both asymmetric and transitory: spikes in uncertainty trigger temporary increases in crime rather than persistent level shifts, whereas declines in uncertainty fail to generate a comparable reduction. Finally, a comprehensive set of robustness checks confirms that our findings are not driven by changes in reporting behavior or uncertainty-induced shifts in policing policy, and that the main results extend to property crime as well.

本研究以2010-2018年美国各县为样本,首次分离出经济政策不确定性(EPU)对犯罪率的影响。我们使用一个估计量来控制回归量的联合内生性,并发现不确定性上升对暴力犯罪的犯罪诱导效应。补充分析表明,这种关系既不对称又短暂:不确定性的峰值引发犯罪的暂时增加,而不是持续的水平变化,而不确定性的下降未能产生可比的减少。最后,一套全面的稳健性检查证实,我们的发现不是由报告行为的变化或不确定性导致的警务政策转变驱动的,而且主要结果也延伸到财产犯罪。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Government-Guided Funds on Enterprises Innovation Quality: Evidence From China 政府引导资金对企业创新质量的影响:来自中国的证据
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-11-04 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.70021
Chenze Song, Zhihua Guan

This study examines the impact of China's government-guided fund policy on corporate innovation quality from a venture capital perspective. It holds significant implications for comprehensively understanding the economic effects of government venture capital and the realization of sustainable development of enterprises. Using a multi-period difference-in-differences (DID) approach, we analyze data from A-share-listed firms in Shanghai and Shenzhen (2008–2023) to empirically assess how government-guided funds influence enterprises innovation quality. Results show that firms receiving such investments exhibit a statistically significant improvement in their innovation quality. The effect is more pronounced among firms facing higher financing needs, including growth-stage enterprises, strategic emerging industries, and Nonpolitical connections enterprises. Mechanism analysis further reveals that government-guided funds enhance enterprises innovation quality by alleviating financing constraints and lowering agency costs.

本研究从风险投资的角度考察了中国政府引导基金政策对企业创新质量的影响。这对于全面认识政府风险投资的经济效应,实现企业可持续发展具有重要意义。本文采用多期差分法(DID)分析了沪深两市a股上市公司2008-2023年的数据,实证评估了政府引导资金对企业创新质量的影响。结果表明,接受此类投资的企业在创新质量方面表现出统计学上显著的改善。这种效应在融资需求较高的企业中更为明显,包括成长期企业、战略性新兴产业和非政治关系企业。机制分析进一步揭示了政府引导资金通过缓解融资约束和降低代理成本来提升企业创新质量。
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引用次数: 0
Linking National Security to Economic Growth: An International Political Economy Approach 将国家安全与经济增长联系起来:一种国际政治经济学方法
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-10-11 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.70020
Panagiotis Palaios, Georgios Kapogiannis

This paper focuses on developing a utility—maximizing model, which points to an optimal defense budget allocation as well as a relationship between security and growth. We test the validity of our model empirically in the case of Greece and Turkey for the period 1971–2023, considering a set of geopolitical, institutional, and economic variables. Our results indicate that if the level of security attained is inadequate in terms of the threat faced, the economic environment becomes highly uncertain, thus depriving the economy from increasing its GDP. In addition, we point to the need for investment in domestic defense technology and infrastructure, both for facing threats and for promoting economic growth. At the institutional level our results indicate the crucial role of the regime type in smoothing the relationship between the two adversaries. The policy implications derived are based on the close relationship between national security, economic growth, and institutions, indicating the need for economies to invest in their domestic industrial base, in light of the latest technological progress and the multipolar nature of the international system.

本文建立了一个效用最大化模型,该模型指出了最优国防预算分配以及安全与增长之间的关系。我们以1971-2023年希腊和土耳其为例,考虑了一系列地缘政治、制度和经济变量,对模型的有效性进行了实证检验。我们的研究结果表明,如果所达到的安全水平不足以应对所面临的威胁,经济环境就会变得高度不确定,从而使经济无法增加其GDP。此外,我们指出有必要投资于国内国防技术和基础设施,这既是为了面对威胁,也是为了促进经济增长。在制度层面上,我们的结果表明,政权类型在缓和两个对手之间的关系方面起着至关重要的作用。所衍生的政策含义是基于国家安全、经济增长和制度之间的密切关系,表明鉴于最新的技术进步和国际体系的多极化性质,经济体需要投资于其国内工业基础。
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引用次数: 0
Poverty and Perceptions of Electoral Integrity in the USA 美国的贫困和对选举诚信的看法
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-10-01 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.70018
Douglas Cumming, Sofia Johan, Ikenna Uzuegbunam

We propose two opposing forces that impact the relation between electoral integrity and poverty. On the one hand, it is more costly to provide electoral integrity in states where there is more poverty due to transaction costs and opportunity costs. On the other hand, extreme levels of poverty attract media scrutiny and greater external monitoring of electoral integrity, giving rise to more demand for electoral integrity. Taken together, we expect electoral integrity to be a U-shaped function of poverty. We also hypothesize that electoral integrity will vary depending on the strength of state electoral laws. Expert-level survey data on electoral integrity from the 2016 US presidential election and the 2018 US congressional election, in combination with US state-level data on poverty, are strongly consistent with these predictions.

我们提出了影响选举诚信与贫困之间关系的两种对立力量。一方面,由于交易成本和机会成本,在贫困程度较高的州提供选举诚信的成本更高。另一方面,极端贫困吸引了媒体的关注和对选举廉正的更大的外部监督,从而产生了对选举廉正的更多要求。综上所述,我们期望选举的廉正是贫穷的u形函数。我们还假设,选举的完整性将因州选举法的力度而异。2016年美国总统大选和2018年美国国会选举的专家级选举诚信调查数据,以及美国各州的贫困数据,与这些预测非常一致。
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引用次数: 0
Online Local Budget Transparency and Local Elections in Croatia 克罗地亚的在线地方预算透明度和地方选举
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-09-27 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.70019
Francisco J. Veiga, Marija Opačak Eror, Simona Prijaković

This study empirically analyses the impact of online local budget transparency (OLBT) on the electoral performance of city mayors and municipal heads who sought re-election in Croatia's local elections in 2017 and 2021. Based on the literature on political budget cycles (PBC) and voting behavior, the study tests two main hypotheses: (1) that budget transparency is rewarded by voters; and (2) that it diminishes the electoral benefits of opportunistic pre-election increases in expenditures. These hypotheses are examined using fixed-effects panel models applied to data from up to all 556 Croatian cities and municipalities where incumbents ran for re-election. The dependent variable is the vote share received by the incumbent in the first round of the local elections. The empirical results provide support for both hypotheses.

本研究实证分析了在线地方预算透明度(OLBT)对在2017年和2021年克罗地亚地方选举中寻求连任的市长和市政负责人的选举绩效的影响。基于政治预算周期(PBC)与投票行为的相关文献,本研究检验了两个主要假设:(1)预算透明度受到选民的奖励;(2)它削弱了选举前机会主义的支出增加所带来的选举利益。这些假设使用固定效应面板模型进行检验,该模型应用于多达556个克罗地亚城市和直辖市的数据,这些城市和直辖市的现任者竞选连任。因变量是现任总统在第一轮地方选举中获得的选票份额。实证结果支持这两种假设。
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引用次数: 0
The Quality of Government and Educational Performance Across Countries 各国政府质量与教育绩效
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-09-27 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.70015
Horst Feldmann

Using a new indicator of government quality, two different indicators of educational performance and two different datasets covering up to 120 countries, this study finds robust evidence that a higher quality of government improves educational performance. This is probably because a competent bureaucracy, a good legal system, and an able government that is responsive to its people all combine to support and impel education providers to achieve high standards. By contrast, poor governance, as exemplified by widespread corruption, military involvement in politics and a weak, incompetent and unpopular government, hampers the working of the educational system, thus reducing learning outcomes.

本研究采用一种新的政府质量指标、两种不同的教育绩效指标和涵盖多达120个国家的两种不同的数据集,发现了强有力的证据表明,更高的政府质量可以改善教育绩效。这可能是因为一个有能力的官僚机构,一个良好的法律体系,以及一个对人民负责的有能力的政府,这些因素结合在一起,支持并推动教育提供者达到高标准。相比之下,治理不善,例如普遍存在的腐败、军队参与政治以及软弱、无能和不受欢迎的政府,阻碍了教育系统的运作,从而降低了学习成果。
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引用次数: 0
International Trade and Forced Labor 国际贸易和强迫劳动
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-09-11 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.70016
Facundo Albornoz, Matthias Dahm, Luis Frones, Todd Landman

We explore the link between trade liberalization and forced labor theoretically and empirically. Our theoretical framework predicts that the net effect of trade on the use of forced labor depends on which sectors improve their relative terms of trade and if openness to trade triggers anti-forced labor policies in the country or by trade partners. Using two datasets, we show that trade openness increases the intensive margin of forced labor but not the extensive margin. Splitting trade partners by labor standards, we show that trade with high-standard countries reduces both margins, whereas trade with low-standard countries raises the intensive margin.

本文从理论和实证两方面探讨了贸易自由化与强迫劳动之间的关系。我们的理论框架预测,贸易对强迫劳动使用的净影响取决于哪些部门改善了其相对贸易条件,以及贸易开放是否触发了该国或贸易伙伴的反强迫劳动政策。使用两个数据集,我们发现贸易开放增加了强迫劳动的密集边际,但没有增加外延边际。根据劳动标准划分贸易伙伴,我们发现与高标准国家的贸易降低了这两种利润率,而与低标准国家的贸易提高了集约化利润率。
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引用次数: 0
How Do Investors Respond to Data Asset Disclosure: Evidence From China 投资者如何应对数据资产披露:来自中国的证据
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-09-07 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.70017
Yibo Huang, Zhuoran Wang, Huili Zhang

Data have become increasingly important in almost all aspects of society, including government, business, finance, and education. This study examines stock market reactions to the publication of formal regulations on the accounting treatment of data assets, which, among other things, specifies the accounting treatment related to corporate data resources and boosts the disclosure of related accounting information. We document that firms with higher data asset potential receive more positive market reactions to the regulations than those with lower data asset potential. Heterogeneity analyses suggest that the positive market reactions are concentrated in firms with technological attribute, higher technological factor intensity, and stronger market position. In addition, we observe that stronger external monitoring, higher stock liquidity, and better information disclosure amplify the positive market reactions. Overall, our findings provide systematic evidence of positive market reactions following data assets regulations and shed light on relevant policy-making and regulatory processes, which may be extrapolated to other emerging countries.

数据在社会的几乎所有方面都变得越来越重要,包括政府、商业、金融和教育。本研究考察了股票市场对公布数据资产会计处理的正式规定的反应,其中规定了与公司数据资源相关的会计处理,并促进了相关会计信息的披露。我们证明,与数据资产潜力较低的公司相比,具有较高数据资产潜力的公司对法规的市场反应更为积极。异质性分析表明,积极的市场反应主要集中在技术属性强、技术要素强度高、市场地位强的企业。此外,我们观察到更强的外部监控、更高的股票流动性和更好的信息披露放大了市场的积极反应。总体而言,我们的研究结果为数据资产监管后的积极市场反应提供了系统证据,并揭示了相关的政策制定和监管过程,这可以外推到其他新兴国家。
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引用次数: 0
Central Bank Independence and Fiscal Stance: The Role of Institutions in Supporting Fiscal Sustainability 中央银行独立性与财政立场:制度在支持财政可持续性中的作用
IF 1.4 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2025-08-10 DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.70013
Ryszard Kokoszczyński, Joanna Mackiewicz-Łyziak

We investigate the effect of central bank independence (CBI) on fiscal stance: the direct impact on the primary balance and the impact on the reaction of the primary balance to the public debt. We also analyze the role of institutions in the effects of CBI on fiscal policy. We estimate fiscal reaction functions augmented by a measure of CBI using a panel of 98 countries. We find that CBI lowers the primary balance but strengthens its reaction to the government debt, hence increasing long-term fiscal sustainability. Other institutions, such as democracy, seem to strengthen the negative direct reaction of the primary balance to CBI.

我们研究了中央银行独立性对财政立场的影响:对基本平衡的直接影响以及对基本平衡对公共债务反应的影响。我们还分析了制度在CBI对财政政策影响中的作用。我们使用98个国家的小组来估计财政反应函数,该函数通过CBI的度量来增强。我们发现,CBI降低了基本平衡,但加强了对政府债务的反应,从而提高了长期财政可持续性。其他制度,如民主制度,似乎加强了主要平衡机构对CBI的负面直接反应。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Economics & Politics
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