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引用次数: 0
摘要
本研究采用先进的欧盟决策(Decision-Making in the European Union,EU)方法重新审视了英国脱欧谈判的显著性,以评估欧盟 27 个成员国、欧盟委员会和英国之间 20 个关键问题的相对重要性。除英国外,早先的研究表明脱欧谈判的突出程度较为一致,与此不同的是,我们的分析确定了受政治、经济和地理环境影响的八个行动者集群。这些显著性水平的差异有利于 "逻辑滚动",这很可能支持了欧盟的统一立场和与英国的成功协议。此外,我们的研究从数量上证实了英国独特的突出地位,突出了其孤立性,削弱了其使用分裂性谈判策略的能力。这些发现为过去的英国脱欧谈判动态和当前的欧盟-英国政策发展提供了见解。它们通过系统地探索高层外交谈判中的显著性,为英国脱欧和国际谈判的总体分析做出了贡献。
Brexit Rhapsody: Exploring Patterns of Issue Salience in the Negotiations
This study revisits the salience of the Brexit negotiations using an advanced Decision‐Making in the European Union (EU) methodology to assess the relative importance of 20 key issues amongst the EU27 member states, the European Commission and the UK. Unlike earlier studies that suggest more uniform salience levels, except for the UK, our analysis identifies eight clusters of actors influenced by their political, economic and geographical contexts. These differences in salience levels have been conducive to logrolling, which likely supported a unified EU stance and a successful agreement with the UK. Additionally, our research quantitatively confirms the UK's distinct salience position, highlighting its isolation and reducing its ability to use divisive negotiation tactics. These findings offer insights into both the dynamics of past Brexit negotiations and ongoing EU–UK policy developments. They contribute to the analysis of Brexit and international negotiations in general by systematically exploring salience in high‐level diplomatic negotiations.