分析社交媒体对 FTX 危机的反应:解读加密货币市场的溢出效应

IF 2.6 3区 管理学 Q3 MANAGEMENT Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management Pub Date : 2024-05-13 DOI:10.1111/1468-5973.12577
Chunsik Lee, Suan Lee, Junga Kim, Joon Soo Lim
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在本研究中,我们分析了美国历史上最大的加密货币丑闻 FTX 危机发生期间的社交媒体对话。借鉴可访问性-诊断性框架,我们使用自然语言处理方法研究了危机的负面溢出效应。我们特别评估了从 FTX 到其他具有不同诊断属性相似性的加密实体是否存在负面溢出效应。我们收集了大量与 2022 年 FTX 崩溃有关的 Twitter 会话语料,并使用关联规则分析确定 FTX 与其他加密实体之间的关联。我们的分析表明,在 FTX 危机期间,提及 FTX 和其他加密实体的推文数量随着一系列真实世界事件的发生而变化。FTX 危机的负面溢出效应主要发生在 FTX 丑闻爆发的前 10 天。研究结果表明,FTX 危机波及了高可访问性和高诊断性的加密实体,如 Binance、比特币和整个加密货币行业。另一方面,以太坊和 Coinbase 等可访问性和诊断性较低的加密实体/货币并未受到丑闻的负面影响。
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Analyzing social media reactions to the FTX crisis: Unraveling the spillover effect on crypto markets

In this study, we analyzed social media conversations during the unfolding of the FTX crisis, the biggest cryptocurrency scandal in United States history. Drawing on the accessibility-diagnosticity framework, we examined the negative spillover effect of the crisis using a natural language processing approach. We specifically assessed whether there was a negative spillover from FTX to other crypto entities with different levels of diagnostic attribute similarity. We collected a large corpus of Twitter conversations related to the FTX collapse in 2022 and used the association rule analysis to determine the association between FTX and other crypto entities. Our analysis revealed that the number of tweets mentioning FTX and other crypto entities changed in line with a series of real-world events during the FTX crisis. The negative spillover of the FTX crisis occurred primarily during the first 10 days as the FTX scandal unfolded. The results indicated that the FTX crisis spilled over to highly accessible and diagnostic crypto entities, such as Binance, Bitcoin, and the cryptocurrency industry in general. On the other hand, less accessible and less diagnostic crypto entities/currencies like Ethereum and Coinbase did not experience negative spillover from the scandal.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.40
自引率
12.90%
发文量
51
期刊介绍: The Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management is an invaluable source of information on all aspects of contingency planning, scenario analysis and crisis management in both corporate and public sectors. It focuses on the opportunities and threats facing organizations and presents analysis and case studies of crisis prevention, crisis planning, recovery and turnaround management. With contributions from world-wide sources including corporations, governmental agencies, think tanks and influential academics, this publication provides a vital platform for the exchange of strategic and operational experience, information and knowledge.
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