Quantitative Risk Assessment of Rock Instabilities Threatening Manazan Caves, Karaman, Türkiye

Located in the southern part of Central Anatolia Region, Manazan Caves is situated in the east of Yeşildere Valley. It is a five-storey mass dwelling carved into a human-made high rock mass. Although there are no exact data to determine when the caves were carved, it is assumed that the caves were carved and settled in the Byzantine period during the 6th − 7th centuries. The geological and geotechnical data analyses were conducted in Manazan Caves. As a result of these analyses, it was observed that rock blocks of different sizes fell into the field in various times of the year, and there were instabilities in some individual rock blocks. In the study area, the movement mechanisms of rock slopes due to discontinuity were analysed by using various computer programs (DIPS, RockFALL, GEO5); and in order to ensure the safety of life and property and to protect this heritage cave, the current rockfall potential and risk along with slope instabilities were determined, and the fundamental prevention measures to be taken were discussed.