基于 WRF-STILT 和遗传算法的甲烷监测站选址方法

Lu Fan, Xinyun Hu, Xiaodong Wang, Kun Ma, Xiaohan Zhang, Yu Yue, Fengkun Ren, Honglin Song, Jinchun Yi
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摘要

减少石油和天然气行业的甲烷排放是当前国际社会应对气候变化的首要任务。能源行业的甲烷排放具有很强的时变性,而地面监测网络可以提供甲烷浓度的时间连续测量值,从而能够快速发现石油和天然气行业中的甲烷突然泄漏。因此,确定油田内的具体位置以建立一个具有成本效益且可靠的甲烷监测地面网络是一项紧迫而重要的任务。为应对这一挑战,本研究提出了一种技术工作流程,即利用排放清单、大气传输模型和智能计算技术,根据输入的监测点数量自动确定监测站的最佳位置。该方法可自动定量评估监测网络的观测效果。以中国第二大油气开采基地胜利油田为例,演示了所提出的技术工作流程的有效性。我们发现,遗传算法能有效帮助找到最佳位置。此外,当站点数量从 1 个增加到 9 个时,整体观测效果从 1.7 增加到 5.6。然而,随着观测点数量的增加,增长幅度有所下降。这种技术可以帮助石油和天然气行业更好地监测石油和天然气开采产生的甲烷排放。
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A methane monitoring station siting method based on WRF-STILT and genetic algorithm
Reducing methane emissions in the oil and gas industry is a top priority for the current international community in addressing climate change. Methane emissions from the energy sector exhibit strong temporal variability and ground monitoring networks can provide time-continuous measurements of methane concentrations, enabling the rapid detection of sudden methane leaks in the oil and gas industry. Therefore, identifying specific locations within oil fields to establish a cost-effective and reliable methane monitoring ground network is an urgent and significant task. In response to this challenge, this study proposes a technical workflow that, utilizing emission inventories, atmospheric transport models, and intelligent computing techniques, automatically determines the optimal locations for monitoring stations based on the input quantity of monitoring sites. This methodology can automatically and quantitatively assess the observational effectiveness of the monitoring network. The effectiveness of the proposed technical workflow is demonstrated using the Shengli Oilfield, the second-largest oil and gas extraction base in China, as a case study. We found that the Genetic Algorithm can help find the optimum locations effectively. Besides, the overall observation effectiveness grew from 1.7 to 5.6 when the number of site increased from 1 to 9. However, the growth decreased with the increasing site number. Such a technology can assist the oil and gas industry in better monitoring methane emissions resulting from oil and gas extraction.
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