气候危机、政策分心和对燃油税的支持

IF 3.6 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE European Journal of Political Research Pub Date : 2024-05-15 DOI:10.1111/1475-6765.12687
Philipp Genschel, Julian Limberg, Laura Seelkopf
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候危机迫在眉睫,但燃料税的支持率却很低。如何提高支持率?一个显而易见的办法是将其与气候危机明确联系起来。然而,许多观察家担心,政策近视会使这一策略失效:由于气候危机的后果具有长期性和不确定性,人们不愿在短期内为代价高昂的应对措施买单。我们将政策分心视为第二个潜在阻力。我们认为,由气候危机引发的对燃油税的支持也会受到其他突出事件的影响,从而转移人们的注意力。为了验证我们的论点,我们对 17 个欧洲国家的 21,000 多名受访者进行了大规模的调查实验。结果显示,一个简单的气候危机素材会将燃油税的支持率提高 12 个百分点。如果强调气候危机的时间跨度较长,这种效应会有所减弱,但仍然很可观。当提及其他当前危机(COVID-19 和俄罗斯军事侵略)时,这种效应几乎消失。因此,同时发生的事件分散了人们的注意力,严重阻碍了动员人们支持征收燃油税。
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The climate crisis, policy distraction and support for fuel taxation
The climate crisis looms but support for fuel taxation is low. How to boost support? The obvious way is to make the connection to the climate crisis explicit. Many observers fear, however, that policy myopia renders this strategy ineffective: As the consequences of the climate crisis are long‐term and insecure, people are loath to pay for costly countermeasures in the short term. We look at policy distraction as a second potential drag. We argue that climate crisis‐induced support for fuel taxation can also be undermined by other salient events which divert attention. To test our argument, we conduct a large‐scale survey experiment with more than 21,000 respondents in 17 European countries. Our results show that a simple climate crisis prime raises support for fuel taxation by 12 percentage points. The effect decreases but remains substantial when stressing the long time horizon of the climate crisis. It almost disappears when other current crises (COVID‐19 and Russian military aggression) are mentioned. Thus, distraction by concurrent events is a serious impediment to mobilising support for fuel taxation.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
10.00
自引率
5.70%
发文量
67
期刊介绍: European Journal of Political Research specialises in articles articulating theoretical and comparative perspectives in political science, and welcomes both quantitative and qualitative approaches. EJPR also publishes short research notes outlining ongoing research in more specific areas of research. The Journal includes the Political Data Yearbook, published as a double issue at the end of each volume.
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