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When deliberative mini‐publics’ outcomes and political decisions clash: Examining how responsive communication influences legitimacy perceptions 当小型公共机构的审议结果与政治决策发生冲突时:研究回应性交流如何影响合法性认知
IF 3.6 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-07-26 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12711
Ine Goovaerts, Jenny de Fine Licht, Sofie Marien
This article explores how citizens’ legitimacy perceptions are affected when decision makers deviate from the recommendations of a deliberative mini‐public (DMP), and what can be done to mitigate negative consequences. The results of a preregistered vignette experiment in Belgium (N = 2659) support our two main expectations. First, citizens’ legitimacy perceptions decrease when politicians do not follow the outcome of a DMP. Second, when politicians communicate responsively about this – meaning that they show respect for the recommendations and publicly justify why they deviated from them – legitimacy perceptions substantially increase, generally reaching the level of those cases where recommendations are followed. Diving deeper into this result also shows that for this effect to occur, citizens must find the provided reasoning valid and acceptable. Finally, the results hold among both policy winners and policy losers. These findings have implications for the literature on democratic innovations, empirical legitimacy, and political representation, but also for policymakers striving to combine arrangements of public participation that go beyond triviality, with political responsibility for the whole, and sustained mechanisms for accountability.
本文探讨了当决策者偏离小型协商会议(DMP)的建议时,公民的合法性认知会受到怎样的影响,以及如何才能减轻负面影响。在比利时进行的一项预先登记的小实验(N = 2659)的结果支持了我们的两个主要预期。首先,当政治家不遵循 DMP 的结果时,公民的合法性感知会降低。其次,当政治家对此做出回应性沟通时--也就是说,他们对建议表示尊重,并公开说明他们偏离建议的原因--合法性感知会大幅提高,一般会达到那些遵循建议的案例的水平。对这一结果的深入研究还表明,要产生这种效果,公民必须认为所提供的理由是有效和可接受的。最后,这一结果在政策赢家和政策输家中都成立。这些发现不仅对有关民主创新、经验合法性和政治代表性的文献具有启示意义,而且对努力将超越琐碎的公众参与安排、对整体的政治责任和持续的问责机制结合起来的政策制定者也具有启示意义。
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引用次数: 0
Let's talk populist? A survey experiment on effects of (non‐) populist discourse on vote choice 让我们谈谈民粹主义?关于(非)民粹主义言论对投票选择影响的调查实验
IF 3.6 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-07-23 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12710
Rebecca C. Kittel
Populism research has found much scholarly and public attention alike in recent years. Most research has focused on how populism can be defined, assessed or even measured. Even though there are emerging studies on populist messages, few of them have paid attention on causally identifying ways in which discourse can affect support for populist actors. This article positions itself within this gap and aims to answer which discursive elements make (non‐)populist messages appealing to varying groups of people. To answer this research question, I conducted a novel survey experiment on vote choice in Germany from December 2020 to January 2021 with N = 3325. Respondents were asked to choose between two candidate statements that displayed varying discursive elements. Thus, the experiment causally tested whether people‐centric rhetoric, blame attributive languages or populist style focusing on language complexity drive the populist vote. Results show that a neutral form of blame attribution, namely towards politicians, had the highest probability of driving vote choice, irrespective of respondents' underlying ideological preferences or populist attitudes. Simple language nearly always has a negative effect on vote choice, whereas people‐centrism adds a positive touch. These results show that there may be an increasing dissatisfaction with democracy that is voiced by blaming political elites for the malfunctioning of society.
近年来,民粹主义研究受到学术界和公众的广泛关注。大多数研究集中于如何定义、评估甚至衡量民粹主义。尽管关于民粹主义信息的研究不断涌现,但其中很少有研究关注从因果关系上确定话语如何影响对民粹主义行动者的支持。本文正是在这一空白中找到了自己的位置,旨在回答是哪些话语元素使(非)民粹主义信息吸引了不同的人群。为了回答这个研究问题,我于 2020 年 12 月至 2021 年 1 月在德国进行了一项新颖的投票选择调查实验,调查人数为 3325 人。受访者被要求在两份展示了不同话语元素的候选人声明中做出选择。因此,该实验从因果关系上检验了以人为本的修辞、归咎性语言或注重语言复杂性的民粹主义风格是否会推动民粹主义投票。结果显示,无论受访者的基本意识形态偏好或民粹主义态度如何,中性的归咎形式,即对政治家的归咎,最有可能推动投票选择。简单的语言几乎总是会对投票选择产生负面影响,而以人为本则会带来正面影响。这些结果表明,通过指责政治精英导致社会运转不良,人们对民主的不满情绪可能会日益高涨。
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引用次数: 0
Why do people like technocrats? 为什么人们喜欢技术官僚?
IF 3.6 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-07-23 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12709
Jeanne Marlier, M. Kaltenegger, Laurenz Ennser-Jedenastik
Many voters support the inclusion of technocrats in government. Yet we know very little about why technocrats are considered more appealing than traditional party representatives. In particular, it is unclear which advantages and disadvantages voters attach to the defining traits of technocratic ministers: party independence and expertise. We engage with this question drawing on a pre‐registered survey experiment in Austria. We examine how manipulating ministers' party affiliation and expertise affects voters' perceptions of their issue competence and bargaining competence. Findings indicate that voters ascribe lower levels of issue competence to partisan ministers than to non‐partisan ministers, notwithstanding their actual expertise, and that ministers' partisanship shrinks the positive effect of expertise on perceived issue competence. However, this ‘partisanship penalty’ disappears for supporters of the minister's party. Moreover, voters perceive partisanship as an advantageous trait with regard to a minister's bargaining competence. While voters like technocrats for their expertise and independence from party politics, our findings reveal nuanced perceptions, with voters still recognizing distinct advantages in being represented by party politicians.
许多选民支持在政府中纳入技术官僚。然而,我们对技术官僚为何被认为比传统政党代表更具吸引力知之甚少。尤其是,选民对技术专家型部长的决定性特征--政党独立性和专业知识--的利弊并不清楚。我们利用在奥地利进行的一项预先登记的调查实验来探讨这一问题。我们研究了操纵部长的政党归属和专业知识如何影响选民对其议题能力和谈判能力的看法。研究结果表明,与无党派部长相比,选民认为有党派部长的议题能力水平较低,尽管他们拥有实际的专业知识。然而,这种 "党派惩罚 "对于部长所属党派的支持者来说却消失了。此外,选民认为党派性对部长的议价能力有利。虽然选民喜欢技术官僚的专业知识和独立于党派政治的特质,但我们的研究结果显示了选民对技术官僚的细微看法,选民仍然认为由党派政治家代表技术官僚具有明显优势。
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引用次数: 0
Correction to (When) do electoral mandates set the agenda? Government capacity and mandate responsiveness in Germany 更正:选举授权何时确定议程?德国政府的能力和对授权的响应
IF 3.6 1区 社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12681
<p>Guinaudeau, B., & Guinaudeau, I. (2023). (When) do electoral mandates set the agenda? Government capacity and mandate responsiveness in Germany<i>. European Journal of Political Research, 62</i>(4), 1212–1234. https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-6765.12557</p><p>Page 1226, the following comment on Model 5 is incorrect: ‘The interaction term is not significant, suggesting that Bundesrat control does not significantly affect mandate responsiveness’. The interaction term is in fact significant and negative. This should have read: ‘Surprisingly, the negative and significant interaction effect suggests that having a majority in the Bundesrat even goes hand in hand with lower levels of mandate responsiveness’.</p><p>Still on page 1226, the number of the model in the following sentence is wrong: ‘The constitutive term for platform priorities in Model 7 shows that their relationship with legislative subjects is significant for areas immune to any Europeanization…’ Europeanization is analysed in Model 8 and not in Model 7. Therefore, the correction is: ‘The constitutive term for platform priorities in Model 8 shows that their relationship with legislative subjects is significant for areas immune to any Europeanization…’</p><p>Page 1228, a whole paragraph went lost in the finalization process. This paragraph was initially located between the second paragraph (‘Our findings also confirm the conditioning impact of budget conditions. The constitutive term for platform priorities shows that for a positive budget balance their impact on legislation is significant. The marginal effects displayed in Figure 4 show this is no longer the case when the account balance gets negative, however, as in the period from the early 1990s to the early 2000s’.) and the third one (‘This first empirical account of how mandate responsiveness is constrained by vertical and operational capacity generally supports the concerns that the relationship between electoral and legislative priorities relies on a certain level of national sovereignty and favourable budget conditions. When these conditions are not met, electoral and legislative priorities appear to be statistically disconnected from each other’.). The lost paragraph needs to be reinserted: ‘‘Finally, we examine how public pressure circumscribes the government's ability to focus lawmaking on mandate priorities. The marginal effects presented in Figure 5, based on Model 10, confirm the intuition that while popular governments enjoy comfortable latitude, unpopular governments face more difficulties in legislating on mandate priorities. We knew from past studies that popularity crises prompt them to tackle problems that are most salient among voters (e.g. Bernardi, 2020) and that this diverts executives away from their “owned” issues (Green & Jennings, 2019). These new findings reveal that this has important implications for mandate responsiveness as well: government have reasons to respond to salient public priorities, no mat
Guinaudeau, B., & Guinaudeau, I. (2023).(When) do electoral mandates set the agenda?德国的政府能力与授权响应。欧洲政治研究杂志》,62(4),1212-1234。https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-6765.12557Page 1226,以下关于模型 5 的评论是错误的:"交互项不显著,表明联邦参议院的控制并不显著影响任务响应性"。事实上,交互项是显著的负值。在第 1226 页中,以下句子中的模型编号也是错误的:"模型 7 中平台优先事项的构成项表明,它们与立法主题的关系对于不受任何欧洲化影响的领域是显著的...... "欧洲化在模型 8 中进行分析,而不是在模型 7 中。因此,更正为:'模式 8 中平台优先事项的构成项表明,它们与立法主体的关系对于不受任何欧 洲化影响的领域来说是重要的......'"第 1228 页,一整段在定稿过程中丢失了。该段最初位于第二段("我们的研究结果还证实了预算条件的调节作用。纲领优先事项的构成项表明,在预算平衡为正的情况下,纲领优先事项对立法的影响是显著的。图 4 中显示的边际效应表明,当账户余额为负时,情况就不再是这样了,如 20 世纪 90 年代初至 21 世纪初")和第三段("这是对任务响应能力如何受到纵向和业务能力制约的首次经验性说明,总体上支持了人们的担忧,即选举和立法优先事项之间的关系依赖于一定程度的国家主权和有利的预算条件。当这些条件不具备时,选举和立法优先事项在统计上似乎是相互脱节的")。丢失的段落需要重新插入:最后,我们研究了公众压力如何限制政府将立法重点放在授权优先事项上的能力。图 5 基于模型 10 显示的边际效应证实了这样一种直觉,即虽然受欢迎的政府享有宽松的空间,但不受欢迎的政府在就任务优先事项立法时面临更多困难。我们从过去的研究中了解到,民望危机会促使政府解决选民最关心的问题(如 Bernardi, 2020),这也会分散政府官员对其 "自有 "问题的注意力(Green & Jennings, 2019)。这些新的研究结果表明,这对授权响应也有重要影响:政府有理由对突出的公众优先事项做出响应,无论这些优先事项是否在其竞选中占据重要地位。这表明,任务代表制与其他与问责制和以民主方式回应公众要求相关的代表制形式相结合。最后,目前的图 3 并不正确(目前与图 4 相同)。正确的图 3 见下文。图的标题和注释可以保持不变。
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引用次数: 0
‘Stick to the status quo’? A conjoint experiment with German adolescents on democratic designs 坚持现状"?德国青少年民主设计联合实验
IF 5.3 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12697
Vanessa Schwaiger, Andre Bächtiger
While representing the next generation of democratic citizens, research on process preferences of adolescents is in its infancy. To analyse what institutional designs adolescents favour, we conducted a conjoint experiment with a unique, representative sample of 1,970 German pupils between the age of 14–17. We find that adolescents in general are ‘status quo’– democrats, preferring a parliament (representing the central institution of the existing representative system) to alternative institutions, namely citizen forums and an assertive leader. However, support for the status quo comes with several qualifications, namely expert input, slow and considerate political processes and a final referendum. Furthermore, we find differences between subgroups, whereby dissatisfied adolescents are more open to citizen forums and an assertive leader than satisfied adolescents. By contrast, more sophisticated adolescents have stronger preferences for the parliament as the main institution. Overall, our results suggest that a major overhaul of the democratic infrastructure does not seem to be a priority for the next generation of citizens, although there is some desire for innovation, namely the ‘blending’ of representative institutions with more citizen participation.
青少年是下一代民主公民的代表,但有关青少年程序偏好的研究还处于起步阶段。为了分析青少年喜欢什么样的制度设计,我们对 1,970 名 14-17 岁的德国小学生进行了一次具有代表性的联合实验。我们发现,青少年总体上是 "维持现状 "的民主主义者,他们更喜欢议会(代表现有代议制的核心机构),而不是其他机构,即公民论坛和自信的领导者。然而,对现状的支持有几个条件,即专家意见、缓慢而周到的政治进程和最终的全民公决。此外,我们还发现了亚群体之间的差异,即不满意的青少年比满意的青少年更倾向于公民论坛和自信的领导者。相比之下,更成熟的青少年更倾向于将议会作为主要机构。总之,我们的研究结果表明,对民主基础设施进行大刀阔斧的改革似乎并不是下一代公民的优先选择,尽管他们有一些创新的愿望,即代议制机构与更多公民参与的 "融合"。
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引用次数: 0
Comparing political participation profiles in four Western European countries 比较四个西欧国家的政治参与情况
IF 5.3 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-22 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12695
S. Rojon, Paulina K. Pankowska, D. Vittori, E. Paulis
Most studies of political participation have either focused on specific political behaviours or combined several behaviours into additive scales of institutional versus non‐institutional participation. Through a multi‐group latent class analysis of participation in 15 different political actions, conducted among citizens from four Western European countries, we identified five empirically grounded participant types that differ in their political engagement, socio‐demographic characteristics and political attitudes: ‘voter specialists’, ‘expressive voters’, ‘online participants’, ‘all‐round activists’ and ‘inactives’. While the same participant types were identified in all four countries, the proportion of citizens assigned to each type varies across countries. Our results challenge the claim that some citizens specialize in protest politics at the expense of electoral politics. Furthermore, our typological approach challenges previous findings on the individual characteristics associated with political (in)action.
大多数关于政治参与的研究要么侧重于特定的政治行为,要么将几种行为合并为制度性参与与非制度性参与的加法量表。通过对来自四个西欧国家的公民参与 15 种不同政治行动的情况进行多组潜类分析,我们确定了五种基于经验的参与者类型,他们在政治参与、社会人口特征和政治态度方面各不相同:选民专家"、"表现型选民"、"在线参与者"、"全能活动家 "和 "不作为者"。虽然在所有四个国家中都发现了相同的参与者类型,但归入每种类型的公民比例却因国家而异。我们的研究结果对一些公民专门从事抗议政治而忽视选举政治的说法提出了质疑。此外,我们的分类方法还对以往关于与政治(不)行动相关的个人特征的研究结果提出了质疑。
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引用次数: 0
Vox populi, vox dei? The effect of sociotropic and egocentric incongruence on democratic preferences Vox populi, vox dei?社会倾向与自我中心不一致对民主偏好的影响
IF 5.3 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-16 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12689
MIRIAM SORACE, DIANE BOLET
Systemic congruence between the whole legislature and the whole electorate (‘many‐to‐many’, or sociotropic congruence) should be the benchmark to evaluate a democratic system. Yet, most studies link shifts in democratic preferences to individual‐level representation (‘many‐to‐one’, or egocentric incongruence), since individual‐level representation failures should be more salient and visible for individual citizens. We argue that the sociotropic incongruence hypothesis has not been appropriately tested to date, because the measure does not vary at individual level in observational data. Using an experiment conducted in France, we manipulate various sociotropic (in)congruence scenarios at the individual level. In addition to the incongruence hypotheses, our original experiment tests whether offering expertise‐based justifications to incongruence attenuates the backlash against representatives. We find that, even when giving sociotropic incongruence a fair test, egocentric incongruence still consistently shapes democratic preferences, while the effect of sociotropic incongruence remains negligible. Furthermore, we find that narratives rooted in expertise claims do not attenuate the effect of representation failure on backlash against representative democracy: they exacerbate it.
整个立法机构与全体选民之间的系统一致性("多对多",或称社会一致性)应该是评估民主制度的基准。然而,大多数研究都将民主偏好的变化与个人层面的代表性("多对一",或自我中心的不一致性)联系起来,因为个人层面的代表性失效对公民个人来说应该更加突出和明显。我们认为,迄今为止,社会不协调假说尚未得到适当检验,因为在观察数据中,个人层面的衡量标准并不存在差异。通过在法国进行的一项实验,我们在个人层面上操纵了各种社会(不)一致性情景。除了不一致假设之外,我们最初的实验还检验了为不一致提供基于专业知识的理由是否会减轻对代表的反弹。我们发现,即使在对社会不一致性进行公平测试时,以自我为中心的不一致性仍然会持续影响民主偏好,而社会不一致性的影响仍然微乎其微。此外,我们还发现,植根于专业知识主张的叙事并不能削弱代表失败对代议制民主反弹的影响,反而会加剧这种反弹。
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引用次数: 0
The climate crisis, policy distraction and support for fuel taxation 气候危机、政策分心和对燃油税的支持
IF 5.3 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-15 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12687
Philipp Genschel, Julian Limberg, Laura Seelkopf
The climate crisis looms but support for fuel taxation is low. How to boost support? The obvious way is to make the connection to the climate crisis explicit. Many observers fear, however, that policy myopia renders this strategy ineffective: As the consequences of the climate crisis are long‐term and insecure, people are loath to pay for costly countermeasures in the short term. We look at policy distraction as a second potential drag. We argue that climate crisis‐induced support for fuel taxation can also be undermined by other salient events which divert attention. To test our argument, we conduct a large‐scale survey experiment with more than 21,000 respondents in 17 European countries. Our results show that a simple climate crisis prime raises support for fuel taxation by 12 percentage points. The effect decreases but remains substantial when stressing the long time horizon of the climate crisis. It almost disappears when other current crises (COVID‐19 and Russian military aggression) are mentioned. Thus, distraction by concurrent events is a serious impediment to mobilising support for fuel taxation.
气候危机迫在眉睫,但燃料税的支持率却很低。如何提高支持率?一个显而易见的办法是将其与气候危机明确联系起来。然而,许多观察家担心,政策近视会使这一策略失效:由于气候危机的后果具有长期性和不确定性,人们不愿在短期内为代价高昂的应对措施买单。我们将政策分心视为第二个潜在阻力。我们认为,由气候危机引发的对燃油税的支持也会受到其他突出事件的影响,从而转移人们的注意力。为了验证我们的论点,我们对 17 个欧洲国家的 21,000 多名受访者进行了大规模的调查实验。结果显示,一个简单的气候危机素材会将燃油税的支持率提高 12 个百分点。如果强调气候危机的时间跨度较长,这种效应会有所减弱,但仍然很可观。当提及其他当前危机(COVID-19 和俄罗斯军事侵略)时,这种效应几乎消失。因此,同时发生的事件分散了人们的注意力,严重阻碍了动员人们支持征收燃油税。
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引用次数: 0
How political and social constituent traits affect the responsiveness of legislators: A Comparative Field Experiment 政治和社会选民特征如何影响立法者的反应能力?实地对比实验
IF 5.3 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-15 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12688
WOUTER SCHAKEL, MARKUS BAUMANN, DIANE BOLET, ROSIE CAMPBELL, TOM LOUWERSE, THOMAS ZITTEL
A growing body of literature investigates whether legislators show biases in their constituency communication contingent upon constituent traits. However, we know little about whether and how findings of unequal responsiveness generalize across countries (beyond the United States) and across different traits. We address both issues using a pre‐registered comparative field experiment conducted in Germany, the United Kingdom and the Netherlands, in which fictitious citizens (varied by ethnicity, social class and partisan affiliation) inquired about legislators’ policy priorities regarding the COVID‐19 pandemic. Our pooled analysis reveals that co‐partisanship and class both increase the responsiveness of legislators while we find no effect for ethnicity. The effect sizes we find are small, but comparable to earlier studies and also noteworthy in view of our hard test design. Our exploratory analyses further corroborate the lack of discrimination against ethnic minority constituents in showing no intersectionality effects, that is, interactions between ethnic‐minority and low‐class identities. This exploratory step also addresses the country specific differences that we find. We speculate about plausible underlying party system effects that we, however, cannot substantiate due to statistical limitations. This important issue requires further attention in future research.
越来越多的文献研究了立法者在与选民沟通时是否会因选民的特质而出现偏差。然而,我们对不同国家(除美国外)和不同特质之间是否存在不平等回应的研究结果,以及这种不平等回应是如何普遍化的知之甚少。为了解决这两个问题,我们在德国、英国和荷兰进行了一次预先登记的比较实地实验,在实验中,虚构的公民(因种族、社会阶层和党派背景而异)询问了立法者有关 COVID-19 大流行病的政策优先事项。我们的汇总分析表明,共同党派和阶级都会提高立法者的反应能力,而种族则没有影响。我们发现的效应大小较小,但与之前的研究不相上下,而且考虑到我们的硬测试设计,也值得注意。我们的探索性分析进一步证实了少数族裔选民没有受到歧视,因为我们没有发现交叉效应,即少数族裔身份和低阶层身份之间的相互作用。这一探索性步骤还解决了我们发现的各国具体差异问题。我们推测可能存在潜在的政党制度效应,但由于统计方面的限制,我们无法证实这些效应。这一重要问题需要在今后的研究中进一步关注。
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引用次数: 0
Preferences for growth strategies in advanced democracies: A new ‘representation gap’? 先进民主国家对增长战略的偏好:新的 "代表差距"?
IF 5.3 1区 社会学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-10 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6765.12686
Lucio Baccaro, B. Bremer, Erik Neimanns
While research on the economic characteristics of growth models across countries is now extensive, research on their politics is in its infancy, even though governments routinely pursue different strategies to generate growth. In particular, we lack evidence on (1) whether citizens have coherent preferences towards growth strategies, (2) what growth strategies citizens prefer and (3) what shapes their preferences. We address these questions through a new survey of public opinion in Germany, Italy, Sweden and the United Kingdom, which exemplify different economic models. We find that preferences for growth strategies are consistent with other policy preferences and are meaningfully structured by class, retirement status, and to a lesser extent, sector of employment. At the same time, differences across class and sector are small, and a large majority of respondents across countries favour wage‐led growth. This hints at a possible ‘representation gap’ since this growth strategy is in crisis everywhere.
尽管目前对各国增长模式的经济特征进行了广泛的研究,但对其政治特征的研究还处于起步阶段,尽管各国政府通常会采取不同的战略来促进增长。特别是,我们在以下方面缺乏证据:(1) 公民是否对增长战略有一致的偏好;(2) 公民偏好什么样的增长战略;(3) 是什么影响了他们的偏好。我们通过在德国、意大利、瑞典和英国(这些国家是不同经济模式的典范)开展一项新的民意调查来解决这些问题。我们发现,人们对增长战略的偏好与其他政策偏好是一致的,并且是由阶层、退休状况以及在较小程度上由就业部门决定的。同时,不同阶层和行业之间的差异较小,各国绝大多数受访者都赞成工资主导型增长。这表明可能存在 "代表差距",因为这种增长战略在各地都面临危机。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
European Journal of Political Research
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